I think everyone remembers last year when the Tigers were pretty much a lock for the playoffs in the minds of many prognosticators. Sure, it was up for debate whether they’d win the American League or the World Series, but they were post season bound. Not so much this year. A number of sites and outlets and experts are doing some predicting and, well it ain’t so pretty.
Ken Rosenthal puts the Tigers in last place in the Central. But he acknowledges that anyone in the Central could win it.
Sports Illustrated picked the Tigers to finish 4th with 77 wins, 8 games back of the Twins who they think take the divison with 85 wins.
ESPN the Magazine picks the Tigers…5th in the AL Central because the rotation is questionable.
David Pinto at Baseball Musings picks the Tigers to also finish last, but he gives them a 17% chance of winning the division which is only slightly less that random!
The folks at Baseball Prospectus give us a number of projections and predictions. Joe Sheehan ranks them as the 23rd worst team in baseball, but that is still better than the White Sox and Royals. Chris Kahrl cites PECOTA and has them winning only 80 games, but that is good enough for 2nd in the Central.
Seamheads.com takes the Tigers 2nd with 84 wins, 2 games off the league pace.
Baseball Digest Daily’s panel of writers peg Detroit as the 3rd best team in the division.
And the geeks (I use that term affectionately) at Beyond the Box Score pick the Tigers anywhere from 2nd to last.
If you read through all the links though there is a pretty consistent theme. The Tigers aren’t that good, but they might not have to be to stay in the mix. As for my predictions, those are coming soon.