Team WPA leaders

Fangraphs, which recently started publishing Win Expectancy graphs for each game, now has season totals for WPA. In terms of the Tigers, the WPA measures reinforce what we already know – the pitchers have been carrying the team.

Hitters     -35.7%
Starters    283.6%
Relievers   202.1%

Now the net for the Tigers is +450%. To win a game a team needs 50% of WPA (each team starts at 50%, and the winner of course is at 100%). So the pitchers are essentially responsible for the team being nearly 10 games over .500, while the offense has them almost a game below .500. This makes sense intuitively because the Tigers haven’t won a slugfest yet. The wins have been blowouts, or close low-scoring games. In a low scoring game, it is quite intuitive that the pitchers would carry a larger weight. In a blowout, while it would seem the offense would carry the day, each additional run has diminishing value. Meanwhile, each additional out secured by the pitchers gets the team closer to a win.

The team leader in WPA is Mike Maroth at 107.1%. He’s followed by Fernando Rodney at 90.9%. The top hitter of course his Chris Shelton at 62.8%. Placido Polanco who has hit for a decent average, but has a poor on base and slugging percentage is tops of the anti-leaderboard at -67.9%.