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<channel>
	<title>The Detroit Tiger Weblog &#187; rick porcello</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/tag/rick-porcello/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com</link>
	<description>News, views, and analysis on the Detroit Tigers and baseball</description>
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		<title>Porcello Optioned to Toledo</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/06/porcello-optioned-to-toledo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/06/porcello-optioned-to-toledo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Jun 2010 16:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roster Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[andy oliver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/06/porcello-optioned-to-toledo/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Well, it worked for Max Scherzer. The Tigers have optioned struggling second year pitcher Rick Porcello to Toledo to try and find the sinker and pinpoint command that he featured in his first season.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/06/porcello-optioned-to-toledo/" title="Permanent link to Porcello Optioned to Toledo"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/tigers-angels-010-album.jpg" width="500" height="375" alt="Post image for Porcello Optioned to Toledo" /></a>
</p><p>Well, it worked for <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3137&amp;position=P">Max Scherzer</a>. The Tigers have optioned struggling second year pitcher <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&amp;position=P">Rick Porcello</a> to Toledo to try and find the sinker and pinpoint command that he featured in his first season.</p>
<p>The Tigers didn’t announce a corresponding roster move so they are a man down on the roster for the time being. Perusing the Mud Hens roster, last night’s starter LJ Gagnier has done okay this year between Erie and Toledo. Alfredo Figaro has experience but hasn’t really done much to differentiate himself last year (not to mention his disastrous relief appearance against the Yankees.</p>
<p>Looking further down the ladder the name that certainly has to be tempting the Tigers is Andy Oliver. Oliver was the Tigers second pick in the draft and the left hander debuted in the AFL before earning an aggressive promotion to AA to start the year. He has 70 K’s and 25 walks in 77.1 innings and happened to start last night putting him on the same schedule as Porcello.</p>
<p>It would certainly be an aggressive move, but the Tigers have never shied away from being aggressive with prospects in the past (with mixed results)</p>
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		<slash:comments>20</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Doubled up in Arlington</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/doubled-up-in-arlington/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/doubled-up-in-arlington/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Apr 2010 02:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/doubled-up-in-arlington/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is it time to panic with Rick Porcello yet? Is it bad luck, or bad pitching? At least the offense wasn't anemic.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/doubled-up-in-arlington/" title="Permanent link to Doubled up in Arlington"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/porcelloconference.jpg" width="500" height="300" alt="Post image for Doubled up in Arlington" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">L</span>et the <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&amp;position=P">Rick Porcello</a> panic set in. He was knocked around pretty good for the third straight start, which was a shame because an interesting lineup managed to plate 4 runs in the first 2 innings.</p>
<p>The raw numbers don’t paint a pretty picture in this one. Four innings, ten hits, six runs, two walks, three strike outs, 92 pitches. I’m not going to sugar coat this, Porcello didn’t make the pitches he needed to when he got in trouble. When things were at their worst the balls came off the bats the hardest. But <a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-019-tigers-at-rangers/">I’m still not worried</a>.</p>
<p>Half of the hits that Porcello gave up came on ground balls. The second inning outburst was set up by two ground ball hits and a line drive just out of the reach of Ramon Santiago. While the bases loaded walk was inexcusable, the bases clearing double was on a pitch that was off the plate inside to Michael Young. The homer he allowed in the first inning was off the plate away.</p>
<p>Both the Young pitch and Murphy pitch were up too high in the zone, but he didn’t throw them in the middle of the plate either. Porcello didn’t make enough good pitches, but he also didn’t get enough good results on the good pitches he did make.</p>
<p><small>Here’s where I get accused of being an apologist. I understand that and I can live with that and I still think that Porcello will be okay. If he doesn’t, feel free to go back to this post and point out how wrong I am.</small></p>
<p>As for the offense, it was an interesting day. The bats came out strong but after the second inning they were completely silenced. Colby Lewis went on to fan 10 batters. Four of those strikeouts were caught looking.</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1703&amp;position=P">Dontrelle Willis</a> walked the bases loaded and allowed 2 add-on runs. After a strong outing against the Angels  you have to see the control problems return. Maybe it was coming out of the bullpen, but the Willis situation is fragile to say the least.</li>
<li>Fu-Te Ni walked 2 in 2 innings, but that was mitigated with 5 strike outs and <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5535&amp;position=P">Phil Coke</a> pitched a nice inning was well.</li>
<li>The bullpen has been effective, but is in getting worn down. <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1667&amp;position=P">Jeremy Bonderman</a> needs to go 6 innings at least tomorrow, and pray for no extra inning games.</li>
<li>Congrats to <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=paJ05026&amp;position=OF">Austin Jackson</a> on his first career homer.</li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>40</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Game 2010.019 Tigers at Rangers</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-019-tigers-at-rangers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-019-tigers-at-rangers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Apr 2010 14:55:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-019-tigers-at-rangers/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Rick Porcello hasn’t had an easy go of it this season. He’s managed to pitch around some struggles, but the Angels hit him pretty good. Already things like “sophomore slump” are being bandied about and with one more rough outing [air quotes]clever[air quotes] will start calling him Por-shell-o. A strong outing against the Rangers would certainly help quell that talk and prove there is nothing wrong.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-019-tigers-at-rangers/" title="Permanent link to Game 2010.019 Tigers at Rangers"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/gamepostporcello19.jpg" width="500" height="300" alt="Game 19: Rick Porcello vs Colby Lewis" /></a>
</p><p class="note">Read the game wrap: <a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/doubled-up-in-arlington/">Doubled up in Arlington</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&amp;position=P">Rick Porcello</a> hasn’t had an easy go of it this season. He’s managed to pitch around some struggles, but the Angels hit him pretty good. Already things like “sophomore slump” are being bandied about and with one more rough outing [air quotes]clever[air quotes] will start calling him Por-shell-o. A strong outing against the Rangers would certainly help quell that talk.</p>
<p>In actuality there is nothing wrong with Porcello:</p>
<p><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; border: 0px;" title="porcello stats" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/porcellostats.jpg" border="0" alt="porcello stats" width="500" height="62" /></p>
<p>He’s getting more ground balls, striking out more, walking less, keeping the ball in the park better, and the only thing that isn’t happening is that his balls in play aren’t being converted to outs. He’s also giving up fewer line drives. Porcello is fine.</p>
<p>Colby Lewis goes for the Rangers. He has 18 K’s in 17.1 innings this season, including a 10 strike out effort against the Indians. He is prone to the walk though with 10 allowed over his 3 starts.</p>
<p>Magglio Ordonez is sore and will get his first day off today.</p>
<p><a title="Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers - April 25, 2010 - MLB.com Preview" href="http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2010_04_25_detmlb_texmlb_1&amp;mode=preview">Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers &#8211; April 25, 2010 &#8211; MLB.com Preview</a></p>
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		<slash:comments>48</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>A Discouraging Turn</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Apr 2010 18:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dontrelle willis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[max scherzer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Tigers have taken two turns through the rotation. The first was largely encouraging. A Max Scherzer 1 run effort and reasons for hope from Dontrelle Willis and Jeremy Bonderman highlighted the pass with rough but acceptable outings from Justin Verlander and Rick Porcello. This second turn though...oh man.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/" title="Permanent link to A Discouraging Turn"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/rotationwheel325_thumb.jpg" width="325" height="325" alt="Post image for A Discouraging Turn" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">T</span>he Tigers have taken two turns through the rotation. The first was largely encouraging. A <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3137&amp;position=P">Max Scherzer</a> 1 run effort and reasons for hope from <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1703&amp;position=P">Dontrelle Willis</a> and <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1667&amp;position=P">Jeremy Bonderman</a> highlighted the pass with rough but acceptable outings from <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8700&amp;position=P">Justin Verlander</a> and <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&amp;position=P">Rick Porcello</a>. This second turn though&#8230;oh man.</p>
<p>Using the <a href="http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/StartingInfo.py?StartDate=04/11/2010&amp;EndDate=04/16/2010&amp;GameType=all&amp;PlayedVs=0&amp;Park=0&amp;PlayerID=6">Baseball Musings Day by Day Database</a> it is easy to see how the starters have fared over the last 5 games and it isn’t pretty. The 12 walks issued over the 5 starts is borderline acceptable. But outside of that it is a matter of picking which number is most troublesome. Is it the 42 hits or the run-an-inning pace or the fact that strikeouts are few and far between? Or do you go with the result of all the ineffectiveness which is a bunch of short outings?</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/StartingInfo.py?StartDate=04/11/2010&amp;EndDate=04/16/2010&amp;GameType=all&amp;PlayedVs=0&amp;Park=0&amp;PlayerID=6"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; border-width: 0px;" title="Starting Rotation via Baseball Musings" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/image1.png" border="0" alt="Starting Rotation via Baseball Musings" width="520" height="196" /></a></p>
<p>This isn’t rocket science. The starters have to pitch better. All of them. With only 4 of the hits being homers, there is some hope that the BABIP will drop. But the teams that the Tigers have faced (Indians/Royals/Mariners) are far from offensive juggernauts making this all the more concerning.</p>
<p>The third pass through the rotation begins today with Justin Verlander. The Tigers are the only team to not have a starter record an out after the 6th inning. That needs to change and the sooner the better.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Game 2010.004: Indians at Tigers</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-004-indians-at-tigers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-004-indians-at-tigers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Apr 2010 11:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opening Day]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-004-indians-at-tigers/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yes, the Tigers have played 3 games already, but with the boys back in Detroit now it really feels like summer is back (well, except for the snow flurries this morning). Sophomore Rick Porcello gets the home opener nod, quite the honor but also well deserved. It also is a favorable match-up. Porcello faced the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/game-2010-004-indians-at-tigers/" title="Permanent link to Game 2010.004: Indians at Tigers"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/game-4.jpg" width="200" height="200" alt="Post image for Game 2010.004: Indians at Tigers" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">Y</span>es, the Tigers have played 3 games already, but with the boys back in Detroit now it really feels like summer is back (well, except for the snow flurries this morning).</p>
<p>Sophomore <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&amp;position=P">Rick Porcello</a> gets the home opener nod, quite the honor but also well deserved. It also is a favorable match-up. Porcello faced the Indians 4 times last year and went 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA over 25 innings.</p>
<p>Southpaw David Huff is on the mound for the Indians. He has never faced any of the Tigers hitters before. He had a 5.61 ERA last year and a propensity for allowing homers with 16 in 128.1 innings. He did seem to correct that problem though and only allowed 1 homer in his last 7 starts and finished the season with 5 straight quality starts.</p>
<p>Hope to see you down here <a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/opening-day-festivities/">for the festivities</a>.</p>
<p><a title="Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers - April 9, 2010 - MLB.com Preview" href="http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2010_04_09_clemlb_detmlb_1&amp;mode=gameday">Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers &#8211; April 9, 2010 &#8211; MLB.com Preview</a></p>
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		<slash:comments>49</slash:comments>
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		<title>Cabrera, Verlander, Porcello win 2009 DIBS Honors</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/11/cabrera-verlander-porcello-win-2009-dibs-honors/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/11/cabrera-verlander-porcello-win-2009-dibs-honors/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 15:55:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Awards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dibs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[miguel cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/11/cabrera-verlander-porcello-win-2009-dibs-honors/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera and starting pitcher Justin Verlander were voted the Tigers' top positional player and top pitcher of 2009, in a vote conducted by the Detroit Independent Baseball Scribes.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/11/cabrera-verlander-porcello-win-2009-dibs-honors/" title="Permanent link to Cabrera, Verlander, Porcello win 2009 DIBS Honors"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/dibs_thumb.png" width="182" height="84" alt="Post image for Cabrera, Verlander, Porcello win 2009 DIBS Honors" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">D</span>etroit Tigers first baseman <b>Miguel Cabrera </b>and starting pitcher <b>Justin Verlander</b> were voted the Tigers&#8217; top positional player and top pitcher of 2009, in a vote conducted by the Detroit Independent Baseball Scribes.</p>
<p> Cabrera and Verlander each received 20 first-place votes. Cabrera had a .942 on-base percentage plus slugging average (OPS), which was good for fifth in the American League. He had a .324 batting average, 34 home runs and 103 RBIs. All four categories led the Tigers. His Ultimate Zone Rating of 2.8 ranked second of all AL first basemen.</p>
</p>
<p>Verlander led baseball in strikeouts with 269 and was tied for first in the AL with 19 wins. He had an ERA of 3.45. He led the Tigers in all three categories.</p>
<p>Voting was also conducted in two other categories: breakout player of the year, for the player experiencing his first taste of success in the major leagues; and most improved, for the player who made the biggest step forward from the previous season.</p>
<p>Rookie right-handed starting pitcher<b> Rick Porcello </b>earned 18 of 20 votes for the breakout honors. The 20-year-old completed the season with a 14-9 record, 3.96 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 170 2/3 innings. Also receiving votes were right-handed starting pitcher <b>Edwin Jackson </b>(1) and utility player <b>Ryan Raburn</b> (1). </p>
<p>Verlander was also named comeback player of the year, rebounding from a 2008 season which saw him go 11-17 with a 4.84 ERA and 163 strikeouts. He received 11 of 20&#160; votes in the category. Also receiving votes were right-handed closer <b>Fernando Rodney</b> (3), Raburn (2), <b>Brandon Inge</b> (1), <b>Brandon Lyon</b> (1), Jackson (1) and utility infielder <b>Ramon Santiago</b> (1).</p>
<p>Voting was conducted during the week of Nov. 9-15. <b></b></p>
<p>Established in 2005, the Detroit Independent Baseball Scribes now has 21 members who write primarily on the Internet. Its member writers are affiliated with such online organizations as MLive.com (Booth Newspapers), SB Nation, ESPN.com, Freep.com, Bleacher Report, Yardbarker, MVN, Fan Blog and Fan Huddle.<b> </b></p>
<p><b>The Detroit Independent Baseball Scribes include:      <br /></b><a href="http://www.blessyouboys.com">Bless You Boys</a> &#8212; Ian Casselberry     <br /><a href="http://www.dailyfungo.com/">Daily Fungo</a> &#8212; Mike McClary     <br /><a href="http://fanhuddle.com/detroittigers/">DesigNate Robertson</a> &#8212; Scott Rogowski     <br /><a href="http://fanhuddle.com/detroittigers/">Detroit Tigers Den</a> &#8212; Austin Drake     <br /><a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com">Detroit Tigers Weblog</a> &#8212; Bill Ferris     <br /><a href="http://eyeofthetigers.com/">Eye of the Tigers</a> &#8212; J. Ellet Lambie     <br /><a href="http://blog.mlive.com/cutoffman/index.html">Fire Jim Leyland</a> &#8212; Mike Rogers     <br /><a href="http://blog.mlive.com/its-just-sports/index.html">It&#8217;s Just Sports</a> &#8212; Patrick Hayes     <br /><a href="http://www.freep.com/article/99999999/SPORTS18/71206068/0/SPORTS06&amp;template=theme&amp;theme=JAMIESPORTS">Jamie Samuelsen&#8217;s Blog</a> &#8212; Jamie Samuelsen     <br /><a href="http://www.mackavenuetigers.com/">Mack Avenue Tigers </a>&#8211; Kurt Mensching     <br /><a href="http://blog.mlive.com/cutoffman/index.html">MLive&#8217;s The Cutoff Man</a> &#8212; James Schmehl and Scott Warheit     <br /><a href="http://blog.mlive.com/cutoffman/index.html">Old English D</a> &#8212; Jennifer Cosey     <br /><a href="http://mvn.com/roarofthetigers/">Roar of the Tigers</a> &#8212; Samara Pearstein     <br /><a href="http://www.spotstarters.com">Spot Starters</a> &#8212; Blake Vande Bunte     <br /><a href="http://mvn.com/take75north/">Take 75 North </a>&#8211; Matt Wallace     <br /><a href="http://tigersamateuranalysis.blogspot.com/">Tigers Amateur Analysis </a>&#8211; Erin Saelzler     <br /><a href="http://www.tigerblog.net/">Tigerblog</a> &#8212; Brian Borawski     <br /><a href="http://www.tigergeist.com">Tiger Geist </a>&#8211; John Brunn     <br /><a href="http://www.detroittigertales.com/">Tiger Tales</a> &#8212; Lee Panas     <br /><a href="http://tigerstracks.com/">Tiger Tracks</a> &#8212; John Parent     <br /><a href="http://enotalksbaseball.blogspot.com/">Where have you gone, Johnny Grubb?</a> &#8211;Greg Eno</p>
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		<title>Junkballing: Pitchers, Playoffs, Plunkings</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 18:09:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Managing & Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alfred figaro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tiebreaker]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=5373</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Debating Saturday’s starter, some news on a tiebreaker playoff game, and more from MLB’s punishment roulette wheel.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/" title="Permanent link to Junkballing: Pitchers, Playoffs, Plunkings"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/junkballing_thumb.jpg" width="250" height="188" alt="Post image for Junkballing: Pitchers, Playoffs, Plunkings" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">D</span>ebating Saturday’s starter, some news on a tiebreaker playoff game, and more from MLB’s punishment roulette wheel.</p>
<h3>Figaro?</h3>
<p>Alfredo Figaro has been tabbed for the start in a very key game on Saturday. This is the product of a rainout on Monday and a very young starter who’s arm warrants careful protection.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a> simply isn’t an option for this game. <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/blackni01.shtml">Nick Blackburn</a>, also bumped by Monday’s postponement is going on 3 days rest. Quite frankly the Twins don’t have the same type of investment in Blackburn’s future that the Tigers do in Porcello’s. This isn’t a matter of saving Porcello for the rest of the season, it is a matter of not being foolish with an elite talent.</p>
<p>Now Rob Neyer has suggested that <a href="http://myespn.go.com/blogs/sweetspot/0-6-8/First-guessing-Jim-Leyland.html">the Tigers would be better served by pitching Verlander on short rest on Saturday</a> and giving Porcello the start on Sunday. This is much more palatable from a workload perspective. Verlander looks to be a freak in terms of  his ability to handle high pitch counts…so far. We’ll know more by how he responds next year.</p>
<p>Leyland has a tight rope to walk in terms of planning for the next week and planning for the next day with his pitchers. As slim as the lead is, the Tigers are still in the lead. The Tigers are likely to need a horse to pitch 1 of the last 2 games, and possibly games on Tuesday and Wednesday as well. Verlander and Porcello can’t pitch every game and Jackson’s reliability is questionable. So what is assured to be the lowest pressure game that the Tigers face from here on out? Saturday.</p>
<p>I understand that a win today makes everything easier from here on out and if the Tigers were in the Twins position the Tigers would have to absolutely go Verlander-Porcello and hope for the best. The Tigers slim lead does afford them some flexibility.</p>
<p>Regardless, Figaro isn’t going to lose the Saturday game for the Tigers. He won’t be left in long enough to let things get out of hand and if things take a bad turn <a href="http://twitter.com/beckjason/status/4569581040">Zach Miner will be in quickly</a>. With a rested bullpen the Tigers are well equipped to handle the task.</p>
<h3>Tiebreaker Tuesday</h3>
<p>If a tiebreaker game is needed, the Twins would get to host it. The trouble is that tiebreaker would normally be played on Monday and the Vikings are hosting the Packers that night. If the game is needed it <a href="http://m.freep.com/news.jsp?key=533652&amp;rc=sp">looks now like it would be played at 4 p.m. on Tuesday</a>.</p>
<p>The Yankees have until 1 hour after their playoff opponent is known to decide if they’d like to start the series on Wednesday or Thursday.</p>
<h3>Suspension Roulette</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bondeje01.shtml">Jeremy Bonderman</a> was suspended for plunking Delmon Young in Thursday’s game. This really isn’t surprising. Warnings had been issued and Bonderman threw at Young intentionally. I am surprised he’s appealing the suspension.</p>
<p>What’s surprising (in an equity sense and not a MLB’s randomized punishment structure sense) is that Jose Mijares who everyone admits threw at Adam Everett with intent and unprovoked received no suspension. Whatever MLB.</p>
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		<title>Infirmary report and other thoughts</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 10:16:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brandon inge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carlos guillen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gerald laird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jarrod washburn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate robertson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Aside from Joel Zumaya&#8217;s season ending surgery, the news is actually pretty good on the injury front. So much so that the only wound licking to take place should be residual pain of a 2-4 road trip. Carlos Guillen, already swinging a productive stick from the left side, could be playing in left field by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Aside from Joel Zumaya&#8217;s season ending surgery, the news is actually pretty good on the injury front. So much so that the only wound licking to take place should be residual pain of a 2-4 road trip.</p>
<ul>
<li>Carlos Guillen, already swinging a productive stick from the left side, could be playing in left field by the end of the week. Now Guillen in left isn&#8217;t necessarily good news from a defensive perspective but it also means he isn&#8217;t locked into the DH role. <a href="http://beck.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/08/guillen_close_to_playing_in_fi.html">Beck&#8217;s Blog: Guillen close to playing in field</a></li>
<li>Jeremy Bonderman and Nate Robertson had good reports the day following their simulated game and head out on rehab assignment. Both will be in Toledo starting Tuesday (so the Mud Hens should eat well) with the goal to stretch Robertson out as a starter while Bonderman will be pitching out of the pen. I wouldn&#8217;t expect Robertson back before September 1st when the rosters expand. <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090802/SPORTS02/90802024/1048/rss03">Tigers Jeremy Bonderman, Nate Robertson to pitch in Toledo on Tuesday | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press</a></li>
<li>After Saturday&#8217;s effort I&#8217;m in no hurry to bump Porcello from the rotation, but the addition of either pitcher, or someone else after September 1st could help to curtail Porcello&#8217;s workload down the stretch. With a bigger roster to work with Leyland could do some split starts with Porcello if need be.</li>
<li>Brandon Inge&#8217;s balky knees have bothered him less of late due to a change in his treatment regimen, and the fact he&#8217;s been working with a specialist on <a href="http://freep.com/article/20090803/SPORTS02/908030372/1050/SPORTS02/Only-positive--Bullpen-back-in-order-">a way to put the pain out of his mind</a>.</li>
<li>Gerald Laird has been the Tigers best baserunner. Who knew?<a href="http://www.detroittigertales.com/2009/08/gerald-laird-leads-tigers-in-base.html"> Tiger Tales: A Detroit Tigers Blog: Gerald Laird Leads Tigers in Base Running</a></li>
<li>Speaking of Gerald Laird, i was wondering if he might have any soft of advantage working with Jarrod Washburn since they spent several years in the AL West together. Turns out Laird only has 16 plate appearances against him. And in case you were wondering, Luke Scott is only 1 for 3 off of Washburn lifetime.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Finally, a look at Rick Porcello&#8217;s awesome outing through the lens of pitch f/x.<a href="http://fireleyland.blogspot.com/2009/08/rick-porcellos-start-through-pitchfx.html"> Fire Jim Leyland: Rick Porcello&#8217;s Start Through PITCHf/x</a>
</li>
</ul>
<blockquote></blockquote>
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		<item>
		<title>How many wins would Halladay add?</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/how-many-wins-would-halladay-add/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/how-many-wins-would-halladay-add/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Jul 2009 02:59:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[casey crosby]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[roy halladay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ryan perry]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/how-many-wins-would-halladay-add/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lynn Henning reports today that the Tigers and Blue Jays discussed Roy Halladay and the price would be Rick Porcello, Ryan Perry, and Casey Crosby. Essentially the top 3 arms drafted and signed in the last 2 years by the Tigers. It’s a very steep price that had me balking on first blush. But after [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Lynn Henning reports today that the <a href="http://detnews.com/article/20090730/SPORTS0104/907300459/1129/Tigers-inquire-about-Roy-Halladay--shoot-down-Blue-Jays--steep-demands">Tigers and Blue Jays discussed Roy Halladay</a> and the price would be <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a>, Ryan Perry, and Casey Crosby. Essentially the top 3 arms drafted and signed in the last 2 years by the Tigers. It’s a very steep price that had me balking on first blush. But after a deeper dive and this trade looks a lot more interesting.</p>
<p>We know that Halladay would replace Porcello in the rotation. Let’s assume that there are 13 turns left in the season for either pitcher. Halladay averages 7 1/3 innings per start meaning he’d throw another 95 innings. ZiPS projections have him throwing 84 more innings. We’ll split the difference and call it 90.</p>
<p>Porcello doesn’t pitch as deep meaning he’d likely go about 5 1/3 innings per start or about 70 innings. The bullpen would presumably pitch the rest of those innings.</p>
<p>Halladay has  FIP of 2.74 this year and ZiPS has him at 3.13 the rest of the way. Porcello has a FIP of 5.33. We don’t know exactly which relievers would pick up those other 20 innings, but we’ll assume they have a FIP of 4.50. Multiplying it out, we could estimate that Porcello+pen would surrender 51 runs. Halladay picking up those innings would surrender 31 runs over that same span. That’s roughly a 2 win swing over 62 games which is pretty significant.</p>
<p>But the Tigers are a fairly low scoring team with a fairly solid pitching staff and defense, in other words a lower run scoring environment team. Beyond the Boxscore points out that <a href="http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/7/28/964024/using-team-context-to-better">context matters in these things</a>. They used PythagenPat, and I’ll use Pythagorean but the same general principle applies. Right now the Tigers are a .537 or 87 win team based on their runs scored and runs against. They are pretty close to that based on actual record as well. They average 4.66 runs scored and 4.35 runs allowed. If you reduce their total runs allowed by <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">31</span> 21 (edit: I screwed up the math&#8230;sorry) the team becomes a .553 or 89.7 win team.</p>
<p>Now 87 wins stands a pretty good chance of winning the division and getting in the playoffs, but it is far from a certainty. A 90<span style="text-decoration: line-through;">-91</span> win team will have a very, very good chance at taking this weak division. With that sort of context it almost makes it harder to turn down this deal than it is to accept it.</p>
<p>The price is steep in terms of prospects and value. Porcello won’t be a free agent until 2015. Expecting him to be as good as Halladay is unfair, but expecting him to be an above average pitcher for cheap for 5 more years is reasonable and makes him valuable. Crosby has the stuff and stats that make prospect lovers drool, and he’s a lefty. Perry is a pen arm, quite possibly a good one, but not terribly difficult to replace.</p>
<p>The upside of getting Halladay is tremendous though, and they’d have him for another season (provided Halladay doesn’t invoke his right to demand a trade in the offseason) and he could be flipped at the trade deadline next year if the team isn’t in contention or at the very least he’d net 2 first round picks if he signed someplace else.</p>
<p>I’m not anxious to see Porcello or Crosby go anyplace, but this would be one of only a handful of scenarios where I would be willing to let them go.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Porcello&#8217;s 15 starts</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jul 2009 12:47:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Managing & Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier in the week Jim Leyland made the announcement that Rick Porcello’s&#160; next start would come July 21st and that he has 15 starts left. Porcello has been on inning and pitch restrictions as the Tigers try not to burn out one of the most promising young arms in the game. Through his first 16 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><a href="http://view.picapp.com/default.aspx?iid=4931713&amp;term=porcello&amp;ContributorId=7387&amp;CategoryId=6" target="_blank"><img title="Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers. - Detroit Tigers starter Rick Porcello delivers a pitch against the Boston Red Sox in the first inning, Tuesday, June 2, 2009, in Detroit. Ai Wire/Jorge Lemus AiWire Photo via Newscom Photo via Newscom" style="display: inline; margin: 0px 0px 10px 10px" height="284" alt="Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers." src="http://cdn.picapp.com/ftp/Images/d/8/f/4/Boston_Red_Sox_16c5.JPG?adImageId=1946215&amp;imageId=4931713" width="234" align="right" /></a><script type="text/javascript" src="http://cdn.pis.picapp.com/IamProd/PicAppPIS/JavaScript/PisV4.js"></script>
<p>Earlier in the week Jim Leyland made the announcement that <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a>’s&#160; next start would come July 21st and that <a href="http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2009/07/jim_leyland_flips_justin_verla.html">he has 15 starts left</a>. Porcello has been on inning and pitch restrictions as the Tigers try not to burn out one of the most promising young arms in the game. Through his first 16 starts he has amassed 87 innings. With 15 more starts and assuming the same type of restrictions on start length he would finish this season with 165-170 innings. But do those 15 starts include a potential postseason appearance? </p>
<p>I decided to look at how things shake out the rest of the way. Barring rain outs and keeping the rotation intact Porcello&#8217;s remaining starts could be: </p>
<table cellspacing="10" cellpadding="10" width="200" border="2">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="91">Date</td>
<td width="90">Rest</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">21-Jul</td>
<td width="90">&#160;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">26-Jul</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">1-Aug</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">6-Aug</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">11-Aug</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">16-Aug</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">22-Aug</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">28-Aug</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">2-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">8-Sep</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">13-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">18-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">23-Sep</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">28-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">3-Oct</td>
<td width="112">4</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&#160;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s 15 starts and it takes us right into the Tigers final series of the season against the White Sox. So if the Tigers do make the post season, does Rick Porcello have a role? Does he pitch out of the bullpen? Do they wait and see what happens? Or do they skip him at some point. In late August there are a couple of off days and the Tigers could push him back meaning he doesn&#8217;t pitch in the final series, saving a start for a potential post season appearance.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Junk Balling &#8211; All Star break edition</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 12:02:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Awards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[all star]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[armando galarraga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brandon inge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carlos guillen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fu-te ni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scott sizemore]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A pile of links on the eve of the All Star break… If you find yourself a little bored with the Tigers game today, you can always flip over to ESPN and catch Scott Sizemore, the lone Tigers representative in the All Star Future&#8217;s game. With Polanco on the last year of his contract and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>A pile of links on the eve of the All Star break…</p>
<p>If you find yourself a little bored with the Tigers game today, you can always flip over to ESPN and catch Scott Sizemore, the lone Tigers representative in the All Star Future&#8217;s game. With Polanco on the last year of his contract and Sizemore hitting a combined <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=sizemo001sco">300/392/508</a> line between Erie and Toledo it’s reasonable that he may be the Tigers second baseman next year. But <a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/allstar09/insider/columns/story?columnist=law_keith&amp;id=4320825">Keith Law</a> doesn’t seem to be that high or low on him.</p>
<p>With Brandon Inge making the All Star team he will <a href="http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=3402:complete-listing-of-2009-mlb-all-star-game-bonuses&amp;catid=30:mlb-news&amp;Itemid=42">earn a $25,000 bonus</a>. Really. Given Inge’s career can you imagine that as a negotiating point? Granderson will also get $25K. There’s no mention of what happens if Inge wins the home run derby but the consensus seems to be <a href="http://mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090709&amp;content_id=5794918&amp;vkey=allstar2009&amp;fext=.jsp">it doesn’t</a> <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/espnmag/story?id=3483235">mess up your swing</a>.</p>
<p><img style="border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; margin: 0px 0px 10px 10px; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px" title="Galarraga carries the bag - screen grab from Sports Center" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/P1130852.jpg" border="0" alt="Galarraga carries the bag - screen grab from Sports Center" width="244" height="184" align="right" /></p>
<p>Before <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/galarar01.shtml">Armando Galarraga</a> got knocked around on Saturday night, I was ready to explore a theory about the good luck charm that is the High School Musical backpack. It’s the backpack that the relievers carry out to the bullpen full of treats and snacks and such and it is the responsibility of the least tenured rookie. Well, Fu-Te Ni has had the bag and he’s pitched well, and then in the 16 inning game Armando Galarraga was the only man in the pen and had to carry it back, and followed it up with his best start. But Ni had a run charged to him last night and Galarraga had 4 so there goes that theory.</p>
<p>The interesting thing about Fu-Te Ni is that he seems to <a href="http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/7/7/941110/new-arms-of-the-week-fu-te-ni-and">move around on the rubber</a> when he faces righties as opposed to lefties. I’ve wondered why more pitchers wouldn’t do this.</p>
<p>Carlos Guillen is set to begin a <a href="http://www.detnews.com/article/20090711/SPORTS0104/907110302/1129/rss15">rehab assignment</a>. He could equate to a mid season trade if he can return and be productive. I’d hope the Tigers aren’t pinning al their hopes on Guillen, but it does make sense to take a look before giving up too much for a bat.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a> <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090711/SPORTS02/90711016/1050/rss15">won’t pitch in the Yankees series</a> after the All Star game. Luke French, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/v/verlaju01.shtml">Justin Verlander</a>, and <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/jacksed01.shtml">Edwin Jackson</a> will start in the Bronx. Porcello’s next start hasn’t been announced. <a href="http://rickporcello.mlblogs.com/">But he is blogging now</a>.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Spelling Porcello</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2009 13:08:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because you can&#8217;t spell Porcello without 2 O&#8217;s, 2 L&#8217;s, an R, a C, an E, and a capital P&#8230;The Tigers are taking advantage of an offday in the schedule and the All Star to skip Rick Porcello&#8217;s turn in the rotation. Porcello is done until after the All Star Break and while the rotation [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Because you can&#8217;t spell Porcello without 2 O&#8217;s, 2 L&#8217;s, an R, a C, an E, and a capital P&#8230;The Tigers are taking advantage of an offday in the schedule and the All Star to skip Rick Porcello&#8217;s turn in the rotation. Porcello is done until after the All Star Break and while the rotation hasn&#8217;t been set (with a 4 day break the Tigers could start anyone the first game back) it is conceivable that Porcello doesn&#8217;t pitch until the 24th for a double header. I doubt they would wait that long, but it is possible from a scheduling standpoint.</p>
<p>Jim Leyland was clear that this had nothing to do with Porcello&#8217;s recent struggles and it was part of the plan. I do believe him in this regard, but the fact that Porcello isn&#8217;t exactly on a roll made the decision that much easier. </p>
<p>I think Leyland has a done a wonderful job managing Porcello&#8217;s workload. I believe the plan going into the season was to have him throw about 175 innings. At the half way point he is at 87 inning putting him on pace for 174. And in game pitch count totals have been kept well under control.</p>
<p>The rest of the rotation is:
<ul>
<li>Tue: Verlander</li>
<li>Wed: French</li>
<li>Thr: off</li>
<li>Fri: Jackson</li>
<li>Sat: Galarraga</li>
<li>Sun: Verlander</li>
</ul>
<p>Verlander on Sunday presents an interesting situation with his All Star status, but it shouldn&#8217;t be a problem for him to pitch 1 inning the following Tuesday and with 13 pitchers on staff there should be no reason for any pitcher to pitch more than 1 inning.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090707/SPORTS02/907070364/1050/rss15">Porcello to miss turn in rotation</a></p>
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		<title>Friday&#8217;s Bloops and Blasts</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/fridays-bloops-and-blasts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/fridays-bloops-and-blasts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2009 16:30:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dontrelle willis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[edwin jackson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/fridays-bloops-and-blasts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A bunch of stuff that I should highlight or comment on that I just haven&#8217;t gotten around to doing so I&#8217;ll let others do it for me: Ian drops the hammer on Dontrelle after yesterday&#8217;s debacle. I give Ian credit for coming strong (damn, I sound like Jim Rome). I&#8217;ve yet to comment because while [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>A bunch of stuff that I should highlight or comment on that I just haven&#8217;t gotten around to doing so I&#8217;ll let others do it for me:</p>
<ul>
<li>Ian drops the hammer on Dontrelle after yesterday&#8217;s debacle. I give Ian credit for coming strong (damn, I sound like Jim Rome). I&#8217;ve yet to comment because while I&#8217;ve watched the replay, I still can&#8217;t even digest what happened. So take it away Ian: <a href="http://www.blessyouboys.com/2009/6/4/899017/d-train-disaster-red-sox-6-tigers-3">D-Train Disaster: Red Sox 6, Tigers&nbsp;3 &#8211; Bless You Boys</a><br />
<blockquote>Congratulations, Dontrelle.  You pitched well enough in the first four years of your career to get a $29 million contract.  You benefited from a career-worst decision by a general manager and owner who felt they needed to push their team through an open championship window before it closed.  You got to cash in on a 22-win season that took place four years ago.  Kudos to you, sir.  But this has been a massive failure.  Seriously, man &#8211; you and the Tigers should be done professionally.</p></blockquote>
</li>
<p>
<li>Here is a look at <a href="http://fireleyland.blogspot.com/2009/06/examining-edwin-jacksons-success.html">Edwin Jackson&#8217;s Success Through Pitchf/x</a>. It&#8217;s one of those posts that I&#8217;ve been wanting to do. It looks like the slider has more down action this year than last. (h/t <a href="http://blessyouboys.com">Bless You Boys</a>)</li>
<p>
<li>The folks at It&#8217;s Just Sports just relaunched their blog, and I was honored to be part of the <a href="http://blog.mlive.com/its-just-sports/2009/06/better_know_a_blogger_detroit.html">Better Know a Blogger</a> feature this week. </li>
<li>The Tigers recent struggles have people wanting change. Kurt<a href="http://www.mackavenuetigers.com/2009/06/04/the-changes-the-tigers-need/"> takes a rational look</a> some of the options the Tigers may have</li>
<li>And from the <a href="http://twitter.com/OFFICIAL_TIGERS/status/2033304814">Good News department</a>, Rick Porcello was AL Rookie of the Month and Justin Verlander took him the AL Pitcher of the month honors</li>
<p></ul>
<p>
<blockquote></blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>12</slash:comments>
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		<title>Analysis: Breaking down today&#8217;s roster decisions</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/04/analysis-breaking-down-todays-roster-decisions/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/04/analysis-breaking-down-todays-roster-decisions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2009 02:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roster Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spring Training]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eddie bonine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[juan rincon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate robertson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ryan perry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zach miner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=3909</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today's roster decisions pretty much wrapped up nearly 2 months (and in some cases even more) of speculation. There is one spot yet to be decided. That will go to either Jeff Larish or Brent Clevlen, though the Tigers are reportedly in trade talks with the Pirates regarding Clevlen. (ironically, or at least coincidentally, such a trade would displace former Tiger Craig Monroe) But with 96% of the roster decided we shift our guessing from personnel to performance.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><span class="drop_cap">T</span>oday&#8217;s <a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/04/porcello-and-perry-make-the-team/">roster decisions</a> pretty much wrapped up nearly 2 months (and in some cases even more) of speculation. There is one spot yet to be decided. That will go to either Jeff Larish or Brent Clevlen, though the Tigers are reportedly in <a href="http://pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/sports/pirates/buccoblog/show_comments.php?entry_id=4233">trade talks with the Pirates</a> regarding Clevlen. (ironically, or at least coincidentally, such a trade would displace former Tiger Craig Monroe) But with 96% of the roster decided we shift our guessing from personnel to performance.</p>
<h3>Rick Porcello</h3>
<p>Certainly the most notable of the roster decisions was the installment of Rick Porcello into the rotation. The move is both controversial, and exciting at the same time. While I&#8217;m not generally a proponent of &#8220;rushing&#8221; pitchers I&#8217;m on board.</p>
<p>The downside of bringing Porcello up is that he may not be ready. The Tigers have invested substantially in Porcello and ruining him would be a disaster. They were very careful with his workload last year in an effort to try and keep him healthy in his first professional season.</p>
<p>But unlike Andrew Miller (who I did contest was rushed), Porcello has multiple pitches that are good enough <a href="http://www.saberscouting.com/2008/04/16/rickporcelloreport2-2/">for the big league level</a>. He fanned fewer than 6 batter per inning, which isn&#8217;t good. But he did that as a 19 year old in High A ball and a power sinker that drove ball after ball into the ground kept his ERA at 2.66.</p>
<p>The low K-rate hurt Porcello in the <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/pecota/PORCELLO19881227A.php">eyes of PECOTA</a> (6.52 ERA), which is certainly understandable and something that shouldn&#8217;t just be dismissed. I actually don&#8217;t know if PECOTA takes into account groundball/flyball ratios. But it&#8217;s also worth noting that Porcello&#8217;s ERA should benefit from an infield featuring Brandon Inge, Adam Everett, and Placido Polanco.</p>
<p>The other concern is workload. I&#8217;ve argued that if you&#8217;re concerned about innings accumulation why not use Porcello now instead of later in the season? A refrain I&#8217;ve heard is &#8220;the Tigers won&#8217;t shut him down if he&#8217;s effective and they&#8217;re contending.&#8221; I&#8217;m sorry, but I don&#8217;t see that as a concern. Porcello performing well and the Tigers contending would be wonderful news &#8211; not a negative.</p>
<p>It sounds like the goal is to have Porcello pitch about <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090401&amp;content_id=4104268&amp;vkey=news_det&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;c_id=det&amp;partnerId=rss_det">160 innings and throw 100-110 pitches per game</a> (a figure I&#8217;m confident they would work up to), which as Dave Dombrowski points out can be managed at the big league level as well as the minor league level.</p>
<p>And quite frankly, Porcello (aided by Bonderman&#8217;s injury) out pitched his competition. It&#8217;s a risk, but in a wide open division, it is a risk worth taking.</p>
<h3>Zach Miner</h3>
<p>Miner struggled considerably early in the preseason, and once his shot at starting was nearly eliminated, he turned it up a notch. Miner will probably bounce between the pen and the rotation throughout the season, as he has throughout his career. With Bonderman&#8217;s return looming, he&#8217;ll be pitching against Porcello to try and stay in the rotation.</p>
<h3>Nate Robertson</h3>
<p>Robertson&#8217;s spring was up and down. He started rough, turned in a couple of very good performances as he became more left handed, and then sprained his thumb. He struggled yesterday in the rain, but Jim Leyland said he wasn&#8217;t going to hold it against Nate. That may have kept Robertson on the team, but relegated him to the pen, a place where Robertson doesn&#8217;t feel comfortable.</p>
<p>Given the uncertainty in the rotation, having Robertson around, even just to potentially eat innings, is a move worth making. Part of me also wonders if Robertson in the pen is a Leyland/Dombrowski compromise. Where Porcello got to make the team to help the short leashed skipper, but the GM wasn&#8217;t ready to cut bait with Robertson.</p>
<h3>Ryan Perry/Juan Rincon/Eddie Bonine</h3>
<p>There are 3 very different stories here, but a common theme. Perry is last year&#8217;s first round pick. A pick at the time that seemed like one who could even bolster the Tigers pen last year. The fact he&#8217;s made the team as a reliever isn&#8217;t shocking because his <a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?entryID=4034469&amp;searchName=Neyer_Rob&amp;campaign=rsssrch&amp;source=neyer_rob&amp;action=login&amp;appRedirect=http%3a%2f%2finsider.espn.go.com%2fespn%2fblog%2findex%3fentryID%3d4034469%26searchName%3dNeyer_Rob%26campaign%3drsssrch%26source%3dneyer_rob">exposure can be limited</a>. Rincon is the NRI trying to regain his pre-2007 form as a very good set-up man. Bonine is a middling prospect who doesn&#8217;t have a clear role defined.</p>
<p>But the common theme, and one that has been evident in each of these decisions, is that they earned it on the field. Each of these guys were longshots for the team, and pitched their way in. For those who thought last year&#8217;s squad had too much of a sense of entitlement, this should be refreshing. Of the players cut, only Clay Rapada and Casey Fien would really have an argument, and even then it would be more of a discussion.</p>
<p>Now the flip side to this is that too much shouldn&#8217;t be placed into spring training statistics. But the decisions being made (with the possible exception of Robertson) aren&#8217;t being made because of contracts. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Porcello and Perry make the team</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/04/porcello-and-perry-make-the-team/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/04/porcello-and-perry-make-the-team/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2009 14:39:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roster Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spring Training]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eddie bonine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[juan rincon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mike hessman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ryan perry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ryan raburn]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=3899</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It appears the Rick Porcello and Ryan Perry will be breaking camp with the Tigers. Details are still thin beyond that. I&#8217;ll update as more information floats North. Also, Mike Hessman was placed on outright waivers and Ryan Raburn was optioned to Toledo. That leaves 29 players in camp including Scott Williamson, Brent Clevlen, Jeff [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/04/porcello-and-perry-make-the-team/" title="Permanent link to Porcello and Perry make the team"><img class="post_image alignright frame" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/porcello-237x300.jpg" width="237" height="300" alt="Rick Porcello graduates from Lakeland - credit Roger DeWitt" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">I</span>t appears the Rick Porcello and Ryan Perry <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090401/SPORTS02/90401041/1050/rss15">will be breaking camp with the Tigers</a>. Details are still thin beyond that. I&#8217;ll update as more information floats North. Also, Mike Hessman was placed on outright waivers and Ryan Raburn was optioned to Toledo. That leaves 29 players in camp including <strike>Scott Williamson</strike>, Brent Clevlen, Jeff Larish, Eddie Bonine, Juan Rincon, Zach Miner, and Nate Robertson battling for one spot in the rotation, a couple in the pen, and one on the bench. </p>
<p class="alert"><strong>UPDATE: </strong><a href="http://www.detnews.com/article/20090401/SPORTS0104/904010410/1129/rss15">Juan Rincon and Eddie Bonine are also in</a>. Dane Sardhina and Scott Williamson were assigned to minor league camp.</p>
<p class="alert"><strong>UPDATE 2:</strong> <a href="http://beck.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/04/porcello_perry_make_team_rober.html">Clay Rapada was optioned to Toledo and your second lefty in the pen is Nate Robertson</a>. It&#8217;s down to Brent Clevlen and Jeff Larish for the last roster spot.</p>
<p>So&#8230;the pitching staff looks like this:</p>
<p><strong>Rotation</strong>: Verlander/Jackson/Miner/Porcello/Galarraga (I&#8217;m guessing on the order to start the season)<br />
<strong>Bullpen</strong>: Lyon/Rodney/Seay/Rincon/Perry/Bonine/Robertson</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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