<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>The Detroit Tiger Weblog &#187; Pitching</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/category/pitching/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com</link>
	<description>News, views, and analysis on the Detroit Tigers and baseball</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 09 Feb 2012 04:16:10 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Breaking down JV&#8217;s Strikeouts</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2011/04/breaking-down-jvs-strikeouts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2011/04/breaking-down-jvs-strikeouts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Apr 2011 04:23:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kevin in Dallas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2011 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=7863</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(Image from Fangraphs &#8211; only takes into account game 1 data) I did not get to watch the game in real time, so I caught up on MLB.tv videos.  They had one of JV&#8217;s nine strikeouts, which I have now watched three times.  Let&#8217;s review his strikeouts by inning, count &#38; pitch type. - 1st/3-2/Fastball [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2011/04/breaking-down-jvs-strikeouts/" title="Permanent link to Breaking down JV&#8217;s Strikeouts"><img class="post_image aligncenter frame" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/JV-Pitch-FX-4-6-11-e1302150140112.png" width="450" height="450" alt="Post image for Breaking down JV&#8217;s Strikeouts" /></a>
</p><p>(Image from Fangraphs &#8211; only takes into account game 1 data)</p>
<p>I did not get to watch the game in real time, so I caught up on MLB.tv videos.  They had one of JV&#8217;s nine strikeouts, which I have now watched three times.  Let&#8217;s review his strikeouts by inning, count &amp; pitch type.</p>
<p>- 1st/3-2/Fastball<br />
- 2nd/2-2/Curve<br />
- 4th/0-2/CU<br />
- 4th/0-2/CU<br />
- 4th/0-2/CU<br />
- 6th/1-2/Change<br />
- 7th/0-2/CH<br />
- 7th/1-2/FA<br />
- 7th/0-2/CH</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t remember JV throwing his change-up for strikeouts this much.  Historically, he throws it about 15% of the time overall.  The Ks on change-ups tonight are great news, because I believe JV relies too much on his fastball in high-pressure situations, and I&#8217;m hoping that games like tonight will grant him more confidence in his off speed stuff.  For example, against the Yankees, 6 of his Ks were on fastballs, and the 1 each on a curve and change-up.  In fact, of the 16 pitches he threw to Teixeira, 13 of them were fastballs, including the one Tex parked in RF.</p>
<p>JV went to a 3 ball count four times tonight, and threw his fastball on each occasion.  Two went for walks, and he got a K on one in the first.  In game 1 versus the Yankees, it looks like he went to a 3 ball count nine times (the MLB.com data is  not complete), and threw a fastball every time.</p>
<p>Thus, while his 3 ball pitch of choice is still the heater, at least he went to his off speed stuff for the strikeout pitches.  Against the O&#8217;s tonight, his strikeout pitches were pretty equally distributed: 2 FA, 4 CU and 3 CH.  Again, I know it&#8217;s early, but I&#8217;m hoping that this little snippet will allow him to throw his change more often on 3 ball counts.</p>
<p>What do you make of it?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2011/04/breaking-down-jvs-strikeouts/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Tigers sign Benoit (and Adam Dunn talk)</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/11/tigers-sign-benoit-and-adam-dunn-talk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/11/tigers-sign-benoit-and-adam-dunn-talk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Nov 2010 20:34:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kevin in Dallas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Players]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Winter Meetings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=7483</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[3 years at $16.5M is a hefty price tag for a setup guy who has really only had three good years over his 8 year career.  Benoit had a sick .68 WHIP last year with 75 Ks in 60.1 IPs.  Problem is, that he&#8217;s never had a WHIP lower than 1.17 in any of his [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/11/tigers-sign-benoit-and-adam-dunn-talk/" title="Permanent link to Tigers sign Benoit (and Adam Dunn talk)"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/joaquin_benoit-e1290025341826.jpg" width="300" height="300" alt="Post image for Tigers sign Benoit (and Adam Dunn talk)" /></a>
</p><p><a href="http://detnews.com/article/20101117/OPINION03/11170416/1129/rss15?utm_source=twitterfeed&amp;utm_medium=twitter" target="_blank">3 years at $16.5M</a> is a hefty price tag for a setup guy who has really only had three good years over his 8 year career.  Benoit had a sick .68 WHIP last year with 75 Ks in 60.1 IPs.  Problem is, that he&#8217;s never had a WHIP lower than 1.17 in any of his other 8 full seasons (3 of them primarily as a starter), and he has a career 4.47 ERA, and 1.35 WHIP.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not fond of 3 year deals for middle relievers, and I&#8217;m not fond of overpaying for a career year.  Though I will say props to DD for addressing a huge need, and doing so quickly.  I think we&#8217;ll get one more in the pen before camp next spring.</p>
<p>I also thought this was interesting &#8211; at least some are reporting that <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20101117&amp;content_id=16127754&amp;vkey=news_mlb&amp;c_id=mlb" target="_blank">Phil Coke will be in the starting rotation next year</a>.</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</p>
<p>Dunn &#8211; It was reported around noon central that <a href="http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2010/11/adam-dunn-moving-closer-to-a-deal.html?" target="_blank">talks were heating up with Dunn</a>, but Jon Heyman recently sent this out via Twitter: &#8220;hearing dunn isn&#8217;t close yet with any 1 team, tho tigers are showing keen interest.&#8221;)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/11/tigers-sign-benoit-and-adam-dunn-talk/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>22</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Junkballing: Injuries and Verlander&#8217;s Workload</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/junkballing-injuries-and-verlanders-workload/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/junkballing-injuries-and-verlanders-workload/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Apr 2010 11:20:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[adam everett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alex avila]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[austin jackson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bullpen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[curtis granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jacob turner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scott sizemore]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/junkballing-injuries-and-verlanders-workload/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A journey through some links that will update us on the Tigers walking wounded, that will put limits on Justin Verlander's workload, and other odds and ends including bullpen usage and Alex Avila.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/junkballing-injuries-and-verlanders-workload/" title="Permanent link to Junkballing: Injuries and Verlander&rsquo;s Workload"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/junkballing.jpg" width="500" height="300" alt="Post image for Junkballing: Injuries and Verlander&rsquo;s Workload" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">A</span> journey through some links that will update us on the Tigers walking wounded, that will put limits on Justin Verlander&#8217;s workload, and other odds and ends including bullpen usage and Alex Avila.</p>
<h3>Injuries</h3>
<p>Word out of Lakeland is that <a href="http://detroit.tigers.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100428&amp;content_id=9650768&amp;notebook_id=9650770&amp;vkey=notebook_det&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;c_id=det#9650772">Zach Miner is preparing to enter pseudo game action</a> as part of his rehab assignment. Even with no set backs that would likely but him a couple weeks away from being ready to join the Tigers. And while the bullpen has been overworked and a fresh arm would be helpful, the bullpen has also been pretty effective.</p>
<p>Adam Everett is expected to be back any day now after taking batting practice yesterday. That could prove timely as Jim Leyland is still <a href="http://detroit.tigers.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100428&amp;content_id=9650768&amp;notebook_id=9650770&amp;vkey=notebook_det&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;c_id=det#9650776">concerned about Scott Sizemore&#8217;s ankle</a> and if he wants to spell him at second, he would have Ramon Santiago as an option with a healthy Everett manning short.</p>
<p>For those that were hoping to get a look at Brent Dlugach, he has cooled off at Toledo as his BABIP hasn&#8217;t been able to sustain his strikeout rate (31 K&#8217;s in 86 PA&#8217;s).</p>
<p>On the minor league injury front the Tigers are hopeful that <a href="http://www.mlive.com/whitecaps/index.ssf/2010/04/tigers_jon_matlack_says_whitec.html">Jacob Turner&#8217;s soreness</a> is an adjustment to a pro pitching schedule and nothing ominous.</p>
<h3>Verlander&#8217;s workload</h3>
<p>With Justin Verlander throwing over 120 pitches in each of his last two starts and not seeing the sixth inning in either, it turned out to be a clubhouse topic yesterday. Leyland says <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20100429/SPORTS02/4290464/1050/rss15">he is going to put a limit on Verlander</a> in his next start regardless of the inning. Verlander acknowledges that he needs to be more efficient but says pitch counts are overrated.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/image2.png"><img style="display: inline; border-width: 0px;" title="Verlander's Pitch Counts by Game 2009" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/image_thumb1.png" border="0" alt="Verlander's Pitch Counts by Game 2009" width="487" height="295" /></a></p>
<p>We&#8217;ll see what happens with this limit. I&#8217;m sure that Leyland doesn&#8217;t want Verlander getting hurt on his watch, but he also had him throw over 120 pitches in 6 of his last 8 outings last season. Verlander has always proven up to the task, I just doubt that Leyland is going to reign him in too much.</p>
<h3>The rest</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.detroittigertales.com/2010/04/tigers-bullpen-bailing-out-starters.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogspot%2FXDPI+%28Tiger+Tales%29&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader">Tiger Tales: A Detroit Tigers Blog: Tigers Bullpen Bailing Out Starters</a></li>
<li><a href="http://beck.mlblogs.com/archives/2010/04/tigers_reactions_on_the_span_p.html">Beck&#8217;s Blog: Tigers&#8217; reactions on the Span play</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2010/04/tigers_catcher_alex_avila_is_f.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+detroit-tigers+%28Detroit+Tigers+Impact+-+MLive.com%29&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader">Tigers catcher Alex Avila is focusing on good at-bats to break slump | &#8211; MLive.com</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.blessyouboys.com/2010/4/27/1445619/quantifying-catchers-the-best-and">Quantifying catchers: The best and the worst defenders &#8211; Bless You Boys</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.blessyouboys.com/2010/4/28/1447999/morning-prowl-tale-of-two">Morning prowl: Tale of two centerfielders &#8211; Bless You Boys</a></li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/junkballing-injuries-and-verlanders-workload/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A Discouraging Turn</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Apr 2010 18:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dontrelle willis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[max scherzer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Tigers have taken two turns through the rotation. The first was largely encouraging. A Max Scherzer 1 run effort and reasons for hope from Dontrelle Willis and Jeremy Bonderman highlighted the pass with rough but acceptable outings from Justin Verlander and Rick Porcello. This second turn though...oh man.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/" title="Permanent link to A Discouraging Turn"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/rotationwheel325_thumb.jpg" width="325" height="325" alt="Post image for A Discouraging Turn" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">T</span>he Tigers have taken two turns through the rotation. The first was largely encouraging. A <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3137&amp;position=P">Max Scherzer</a> 1 run effort and reasons for hope from <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1703&amp;position=P">Dontrelle Willis</a> and <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1667&amp;position=P">Jeremy Bonderman</a> highlighted the pass with rough but acceptable outings from <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8700&amp;position=P">Justin Verlander</a> and <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&amp;position=P">Rick Porcello</a>. This second turn though&#8230;oh man.</p>
<p>Using the <a href="http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/StartingInfo.py?StartDate=04/11/2010&amp;EndDate=04/16/2010&amp;GameType=all&amp;PlayedVs=0&amp;Park=0&amp;PlayerID=6">Baseball Musings Day by Day Database</a> it is easy to see how the starters have fared over the last 5 games and it isn’t pretty. The 12 walks issued over the 5 starts is borderline acceptable. But outside of that it is a matter of picking which number is most troublesome. Is it the 42 hits or the run-an-inning pace or the fact that strikeouts are few and far between? Or do you go with the result of all the ineffectiveness which is a bunch of short outings?</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/StartingInfo.py?StartDate=04/11/2010&amp;EndDate=04/16/2010&amp;GameType=all&amp;PlayedVs=0&amp;Park=0&amp;PlayerID=6"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; border-width: 0px;" title="Starting Rotation via Baseball Musings" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/image1.png" border="0" alt="Starting Rotation via Baseball Musings" width="520" height="196" /></a></p>
<p>This isn’t rocket science. The starters have to pitch better. All of them. With only 4 of the hits being homers, there is some hope that the BABIP will drop. But the teams that the Tigers have faced (Indians/Royals/Mariners) are far from offensive juggernauts making this all the more concerning.</p>
<p>The third pass through the rotation begins today with Justin Verlander. The Tigers are the only team to not have a starter record an out after the 6th inning. That needs to change and the sooner the better.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/a-discouraging-turn/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Waiting on Willis</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/waiting-on-willis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/waiting-on-willis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Apr 2010 03:39:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Players]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dontrelle willis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/waiting-on-willis/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Few players on the Tigers roster, or even in MLB in 2010 will receive the scrutiny that Dontrelle Willis will receive. Willis has been a disaster since putting on a Tigers uniform. He was certainly shaky in his second start, but there is no need to rush to judgment.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/waiting-on-willis/" title="Permanent link to Waiting on Willis"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/dontrelle_thumb.jpg" width="292" height="480" alt="Post image for Waiting on Willis" /></a>
</p><p>Few players on the Tigers roster, or even in MLB in 2010 will receive the scrutiny that Dontrelle Willis will receive. Willis has been <a href="http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/3179/d-train-barely-averts-disaster-start">a disaster</a> since putting on a Tigers uniform. He was certainly shaky in his second start, but there is no need to rush to judgment.</p>
<p>Two starts into the season Willis has a good start and a bad start under his belt. But he hasn’t collapsed. He hasn’t had a melt down. He hasn’t done anything appreciably different than his rotation mates at this point.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3137&amp;position=P">Max Scherzer</a> and <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8700&amp;position=P">Justin Verlander</a> both had their share of struggles their second time out this season. Willis labored through 5 innings, needing over 100 pitches to make it through and being charged with 4 runs along the way. That bested both Scherzer’s and Verlander’s outing. While there is disappointment with all 3, Wilis of course is under the microscope more than the other two given his recent history.</p>
<p>I don’t favor grading Willis on a curve against his past performances. But there hasn’t been anything particularly alarming at this point from Dontrelle. Maybe I’m settling. Maybe I’m judging him as a 5th starter instead of as a starter. The truth of the matter is that given his recent past and a diagnosis that doesn’t give us a lot of benchmarking data we don’t know what to expect. After two starts so far “the worst” hasn’t happened. Short of “the worst” happening two starts just isn’t enough data one way or the other.</p>
<p>We can <a href="http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfx/index.php?month=4&amp;day=13&amp;year=2010&amp;game=gid_2010_04_13_kcamlb_detmlb_1%2F&amp;pitchSel=425883&amp;prevGame=gid_2010_04_13_kcamlb_detmlb_1%2F&amp;prevDate=413">look for clues though</a>. We hear talk about the velocity and the 94mph fastball he threw today. But only half of the 40 fastballs he threw were over 90mph and only 6 were over 92. The velocity and movement separation between the fastball and change-up are pretty sparse as well. He’s only induced six swings and misses in his 2 starts. <strong>UPDATE:</strong> Checking <a href="http://fangraphs.com">fangraphs.com</a> data, Willis is also among the league leaders in terms of percentage of pitches thrown in the strike zone at 57.1 %.</p>
<p>I’m as <a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/03/putting-eggs-in-the-willis-basket/">skeptical</a> as the next person about Willis. But he’s made two starts and hasn’t lost sight of the strike zone. He’s exceeding my expectations. The Tigers even managed to win both of his starts. He hasn’t cost the team anything yet and no red flags need to be raised.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/waiting-on-willis/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>12</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Is Bonderman Back?</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/is-bonderman-back/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/is-bonderman-back/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Apr 2010 13:13:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ryan perry]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/is-bonderman-back/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jeremy Bonderman returned to the mound, health for the first time since before the All Star Break in 2007 and the results can only be described as encouraging. He retired the first 11 hitters he faced before struggling in the 4th inning. But the best news is that the slider was darting straight down like Bonderman slider of doom that we all know and love.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/is-bonderman-back/" title="Permanent link to Is Bonderman Back?"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/bondo_thumb.png" width="236" height="240" alt="Post image for Is Bonderman Back?" /></a>
</p><p>Jeremy Bonderman returned to the mound, health for the first time since before the All Star Break in 2007 and the results can only be described as encouraging. He retired the first 11 hitters he faced before struggling in the 4th inning. But the best news is that the slider was darting straight down like Bonderman slider of doom that we all know and love.</p>
<p>The pitch f/x data is a little inconclusive at this time. It misclassified the splitter and I don’t know that I trust the 4 seam versus 2 seam fastball splits either. While he got up to 93mph on the fastball a few times, he was usually a few ticks below that. But for those that watched the game, the slider was just nasty. </p>
<p>My only concern is that Bonderman’s velocity seemed to peter out a little as the game wore on. The hope is that this is just a matter of him rebuilding stamina. The graph below is of all the pitches the Gameday classified as a fastball (two-seam and four-seam are included).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/image.png"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; border: 0px;" title="Bonderman's Fastball Velocity" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/image_thumb.png" border="0" alt="Bonderman's Fastball Velocity" width="483" height="291" /></a><br />
That is just nitpicking an outing though where he only allowed 3 baserunners. Bonderman and Leyland were certainly <a href="http://www.foxsportsdetroit.com/pages/landing?Bonderman-Its-been-a-long-road-here=1&amp;blockID=213755&amp;feedID=3804">pleased with the outing as well</a>.</p>
<p>For one full turn through the rotation, Tigers starters have all pitched effectively. Granted, they haven’t face offensive juggernauts in the Royals and Indians, but there is reason for some optimism.</p>
<h3>Other items from the game</h3>
<ul>
<li>I like this version of Magglio Ordonez. He’s driving balls to all fields and getting the results that go with it.</li>
<li>I like this version of Brandon Inge too. The one that is selective at the plate and is driving the ball to right center field with regularity.</li>
<li>Very nice defense today all around. Adam Everett made a couple nice plays at shortstop and Miguel Cabrera continues to dig everything in the dirt.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8799&amp;position=P">Ryan Perry</a> got 4 outs and the save on 11 pitches. He looks like a different guy this year. The potential of last year is turning into results this year.</li>
<li>The Tigers drew over 35K for game number 2 and I’d expect a similar sized crowd today. It’s great to see a full park, not just on Opening Day</li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/04/is-bonderman-back/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Putting eggs in the Willis basket</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/03/putting-eggs-in-the-willis-basket/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/03/putting-eggs-in-the-willis-basket/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Mar 2010 15:41:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2010 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roster Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spring Training]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[armando galarraga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dontrelle willis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eddie bonine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate robertson]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/03/putting-eggs-in-the-willis-basket/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The battle for the back end of the Tigers starting rotation has been the story of the spring for Detroit fans. The Tigers are counting on two of the Jeremy Bonderman – Nate Robertson – Dontrelle Willis trio to bill out the last 40% of the starters innings. Bonderman has pretty much had the 4th spot assured leaving Robertson and Willis battling for the 5th spot. But with Robertson outpitching Willis by most measures, it appears that Robertson is on the block and Willis has that  last spot. A dangerous proposition to say the least.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/03/putting-eggs-in-the-willis-basket/" title="Permanent link to Putting eggs in the Willis basket"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/eggs.jpg" width="300" height="227" alt="Post image for Putting eggs in the Willis basket" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">T</span>he battle for the back end of the Tigers starting rotation has been the story of the spring for Detroit fans. The Tigers are counting on two of the Jeremy Bonderman – Nate Robertson – Dontrelle Willis trio to bill out the last 40% of the starters innings. Bonderman has pretty much had the 4th spot assured leaving Robertson and Willis battling for the 5th spot. But with Robertson outpitching Willis by most measures, it appears that Robertson is on the block and Willis has that  last spot. A dangerous proposition to say the least.</p>
<p>Willis has been turning heads due to his 1.20 ERA in all of 15 innings this spring. This has been buoyed by the fact he’s only allowed 9 hits this spring. But he is still walking a batter every other inning and not striking out enough hitters (10 in 15 innings). Without seeing the games I really have no idea if Willis is limiting hits due to fooling guys or if it has been some combination of luck and defense. Given  what we know about batting average on balls in play, I’d give more credence to the latter rather than the former.</p>
<p>The results for Willis are encouraging, but only if you’re comparing to his past performance. It’s one thing to be hopeful that Willis is turning a corner based on his spring play, but it is another to think he is ready to be a member of a big league rotation.</p>
<p>Meanwhile Robertson has pitched quite well in his 19.2 innings on the mound. Robertson has <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20100318/SPORTS02/3180450/Tigers/--Nate-Robertson-adjusting-from-speed-to-finesse">adjusted his game</a> and is fanning a batter an inning and has walked only 1 less than Willis.  Just like Willis though we shouldn’t make too much of limited spring stats. Due to injuries and ineffectiveness neither pitcher received considerable game action in 2009, but Robertson did more with his opportunity as a starter. After getting his elbow cleaned out Robertson made 6 starts and posted a 3.86 ERA (with a 1.714 WHIP). He walked too many (4.5/9 innings) and didn’t strike out enough (5.8/9 innings) but it was still ahead of Willis.</p>
<p>In 7 Dontrelle starts (including his good start against the Rangers) he walked 28 in 33.2 innings and only struck out 17 while allowing a 7.49 ERA).</p>
<p>Both players are huge question marks, as is Bonderman. Which makes the rumors that Robertson is being shopped all the more surprising. If Robertson is moved the safety net for Willis becomes Eddie Bonine. One tier down is Armando Galarraga. The Tigers are going to have to pay Robertson regardless (they’d have to eat a big chunk of his contract). I would prefer to see him try and contribute to the Tigers.</p>
<p>The speculation has been that whoever doesn’t make the rotation would be released. Willis, Robertson, and Bonderman have options left, but both could refuse assignment. While I understand that none of the 3 would want to toil in the minors, the chances to have significant playing time with the Tigers are still pretty good.</p>
<p>A trade of Robertson would be hasty at this point. While he probably has the most trade value of the 3, the Tigers likely can’t afford to lose his arm. He has outpitched his main competitors both this spring and in recent history and is in a similar salary situation. The Tigers are carrying the payroll of a competitor and have enough talent given their division to have a shot at the playoffs. Experimenting with a questionable 5th starter for too long could prove too costly. Kind of like in 2009.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2010/03/putting-eggs-in-the-willis-basket/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>23</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Junkballing: Pitchers, Playoffs, Plunkings</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 18:09:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Managing & Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alfred figaro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tiebreaker]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=5373</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Debating Saturday’s starter, some news on a tiebreaker playoff game, and more from MLB’s punishment roulette wheel.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/" title="Permanent link to Junkballing: Pitchers, Playoffs, Plunkings"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/junkballing_thumb.jpg" width="250" height="188" alt="Post image for Junkballing: Pitchers, Playoffs, Plunkings" /></a>
</p><p><span class="drop_cap">D</span>ebating Saturday’s starter, some news on a tiebreaker playoff game, and more from MLB’s punishment roulette wheel.</p>
<h3>Figaro?</h3>
<p>Alfredo Figaro has been tabbed for the start in a very key game on Saturday. This is the product of a rainout on Monday and a very young starter who’s arm warrants careful protection.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a> simply isn’t an option for this game. <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/blackni01.shtml">Nick Blackburn</a>, also bumped by Monday’s postponement is going on 3 days rest. Quite frankly the Twins don’t have the same type of investment in Blackburn’s future that the Tigers do in Porcello’s. This isn’t a matter of saving Porcello for the rest of the season, it is a matter of not being foolish with an elite talent.</p>
<p>Now Rob Neyer has suggested that <a href="http://myespn.go.com/blogs/sweetspot/0-6-8/First-guessing-Jim-Leyland.html">the Tigers would be better served by pitching Verlander on short rest on Saturday</a> and giving Porcello the start on Sunday. This is much more palatable from a workload perspective. Verlander looks to be a freak in terms of  his ability to handle high pitch counts…so far. We’ll know more by how he responds next year.</p>
<p>Leyland has a tight rope to walk in terms of planning for the next week and planning for the next day with his pitchers. As slim as the lead is, the Tigers are still in the lead. The Tigers are likely to need a horse to pitch 1 of the last 2 games, and possibly games on Tuesday and Wednesday as well. Verlander and Porcello can’t pitch every game and Jackson’s reliability is questionable. So what is assured to be the lowest pressure game that the Tigers face from here on out? Saturday.</p>
<p>I understand that a win today makes everything easier from here on out and if the Tigers were in the Twins position the Tigers would have to absolutely go Verlander-Porcello and hope for the best. The Tigers slim lead does afford them some flexibility.</p>
<p>Regardless, Figaro isn’t going to lose the Saturday game for the Tigers. He won’t be left in long enough to let things get out of hand and if things take a bad turn <a href="http://twitter.com/beckjason/status/4569581040">Zach Miner will be in quickly</a>. With a rested bullpen the Tigers are well equipped to handle the task.</p>
<h3>Tiebreaker Tuesday</h3>
<p>If a tiebreaker game is needed, the Twins would get to host it. The trouble is that tiebreaker would normally be played on Monday and the Vikings are hosting the Packers that night. If the game is needed it <a href="http://m.freep.com/news.jsp?key=533652&amp;rc=sp">looks now like it would be played at 4 p.m. on Tuesday</a>.</p>
<p>The Yankees have until 1 hour after their playoff opponent is known to decide if they’d like to start the series on Wednesday or Thursday.</p>
<h3>Suspension Roulette</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bondeje01.shtml">Jeremy Bonderman</a> was suspended for plunking Delmon Young in Thursday’s game. This really isn’t surprising. Warnings had been issued and Bonderman threw at Young intentionally. I am surprised he’s appealing the suspension.</p>
<p>What’s surprising (in an equity sense and not a MLB’s randomized punishment structure sense) is that Jose Mijares who everyone admits threw at Adam Everett with intent and unprovoked received no suspension. Whatever MLB.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/10/junkballing-pitchers-playoffs-plunkings/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>24</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Eddie Bonine is your 5th starter</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/09/eddie-bonine-is-your-5th-starter/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/09/eddie-bonine-is-your-5th-starter/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Sep 2009 01:54:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[armando galarraga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eddie bonine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jarrod washburn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate robertson]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/09/eddie-bonine-is-your-5th-starter/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Flashback a week. The Tigers had a big lead in the division and they were surging. Nate Robertson had turned in two solid performances. Jarrod Washburn’s troubles were optimistically assigned to a sore knee that would hopefully be better with a little rest. Armando Galarraga’s struggles were tied to elbow inflammation and with a little [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Flashback a week. The Tigers had a big lead in the division and they were surging. Nate Robertson had turned in two solid performances. Jarrod Washburn’s troubles were optimistically assigned to a sore knee that would hopefully be better with a little rest. Armando Galarraga’s struggles were tied to elbow inflammation and with a little rest there was reason to think he wouldn’t be awful. This would be great news to have potentially 6 starters down the stretch with a big lead and 3 key cogs to the rotation having worked more than they ever had and looking for rest. Oh well. It was a good thought at the time.</p>
<p>Robertson has since gone down with pelvic inflammation. Washburn’s knee isn’t better. Galarraga’s elbow isn’t better. And so what may have been 6 is now 3. Washburn will search for effectiveness <a href="http://beck.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/09/washburn_galarraga_appear_set.html">in the rotation</a> and <a href="http://beck.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/09/forget_what_i_said_about_galar.html">Eddie Bonine has been promoted to 5th starter for the remainder of the season</a>.</p>
<p>Now remainder of the season could be 1 start, the actual remainder of the season, or something in between. Jim Leyland has been known to make decrees before only to change his mind a week later – at least he isn’t stubborn in that regard. The duration of Bonine’s spot is probably equally contingent on Bonine’s effectiveness and the health of Robertson and Galarraga. Though I suspect that Galarraga returning to the rotation would be a stretch at this point.</p>
<p>Robertson’s problem <a href="http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2009/09/tigers_jarrod_washburn_nate_ro.html">flared up after his start against Cleveland</a> and he had hoped to make it through 5 innings against the Blue Jays, but it didn’t work so well. Still, if he can get back quickly he could find a spot as a starter. </p>
<p>The bigger downside of all the shuffling has to do with not just the potential effectiveness or ineffectiveness of injured and replacement players, but the increased importance that Verlander/Jackson/Porcello starts take on down the stretch. Extra rest or skipped spots don’t look to be an option for any of the 3 over the last 3 weeks of the season. And with a potential playoff spot and additional innings coming for all 3 pitchers that has to be a concern. Then again, just add it to the list.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/09/eddie-bonine-is-your-5th-starter/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>16</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Knapp ges the WSJ treatment</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/knapp-ges-the-wsj-treatment/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/knapp-ges-the-wsj-treatment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Aug 2009 12:14:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick knapp]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/knapp-ges-the-wsj-treatment/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Rick Knapp has made the big time now. No, not just his job as pitching coach for one of the AL&#8217;s best staffs, but he was the subject of a feature in the Wall Street Journal. He was mostly anonymous until the Tigers hired him to replace Chuck Hernandez and now he&#8217;s been dubbed a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Rick Knapp has made the big time now. No, not just his job as pitching coach for one of the AL&#8217;s best staffs, but he was the subject of a feature in the Wall Street Journal. He was mostly anonymous until the Tigers hired him to replace Chuck Hernandez and now he&#8217;s been dubbed a miracle worker. Nice career arc for Mr. Knapp.</p>
<p>Lot&#8217;s of good stuff in the article, but one thing in particular caught my eye:</p>
<blockquote><p>Roger Clemens, Curt Schilling and John Smoltz crafted Hall of<br />
Fame-caliber careers with the assistance of split-fingered fastballs.<br />
Mr. Knapp frowned on it, viewing the splitter as a “trick pitch” that<br />
harmed young arms more than it helped them. </p>
<p>“If you spread your first two fingers out and extend your arm as you<br />
throw the ball as hard as you can, that doesn’t feel real good,” he<br />
says. </p>
</blockquote>
<p>Interesting in the sense that Bonderman is trying to develop the pitch as we speak. But Bonderman also is far removed from being a rookie.</p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204908604574332373324738440.html">The Detroit Tigers’ Miracle Worker &#8211; WSJ.com</a><br />
<blockquote></blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/knapp-ges-the-wsj-treatment/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>20</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Infirmary report and other thoughts</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 10:16:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brandon inge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carlos guillen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gerald laird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jarrod washburn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jeremy bonderman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate robertson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Aside from Joel Zumaya&#8217;s season ending surgery, the news is actually pretty good on the injury front. So much so that the only wound licking to take place should be residual pain of a 2-4 road trip. Carlos Guillen, already swinging a productive stick from the left side, could be playing in left field by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Aside from Joel Zumaya&#8217;s season ending surgery, the news is actually pretty good on the injury front. So much so that the only wound licking to take place should be residual pain of a 2-4 road trip.</p>
<ul>
<li>Carlos Guillen, already swinging a productive stick from the left side, could be playing in left field by the end of the week. Now Guillen in left isn&#8217;t necessarily good news from a defensive perspective but it also means he isn&#8217;t locked into the DH role. <a href="http://beck.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/08/guillen_close_to_playing_in_fi.html">Beck&#8217;s Blog: Guillen close to playing in field</a></li>
<li>Jeremy Bonderman and Nate Robertson had good reports the day following their simulated game and head out on rehab assignment. Both will be in Toledo starting Tuesday (so the Mud Hens should eat well) with the goal to stretch Robertson out as a starter while Bonderman will be pitching out of the pen. I wouldn&#8217;t expect Robertson back before September 1st when the rosters expand. <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090802/SPORTS02/90802024/1048/rss03">Tigers Jeremy Bonderman, Nate Robertson to pitch in Toledo on Tuesday | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press</a></li>
<li>After Saturday&#8217;s effort I&#8217;m in no hurry to bump Porcello from the rotation, but the addition of either pitcher, or someone else after September 1st could help to curtail Porcello&#8217;s workload down the stretch. With a bigger roster to work with Leyland could do some split starts with Porcello if need be.</li>
<li>Brandon Inge&#8217;s balky knees have bothered him less of late due to a change in his treatment regimen, and the fact he&#8217;s been working with a specialist on <a href="http://freep.com/article/20090803/SPORTS02/908030372/1050/SPORTS02/Only-positive--Bullpen-back-in-order-">a way to put the pain out of his mind</a>.</li>
<li>Gerald Laird has been the Tigers best baserunner. Who knew?<a href="http://www.detroittigertales.com/2009/08/gerald-laird-leads-tigers-in-base.html"> Tiger Tales: A Detroit Tigers Blog: Gerald Laird Leads Tigers in Base Running</a></li>
<li>Speaking of Gerald Laird, i was wondering if he might have any soft of advantage working with Jarrod Washburn since they spent several years in the AL West together. Turns out Laird only has 16 plate appearances against him. And in case you were wondering, Luke Scott is only 1 for 3 off of Washburn lifetime.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Finally, a look at Rick Porcello&#8217;s awesome outing through the lens of pitch f/x.<a href="http://fireleyland.blogspot.com/2009/08/rick-porcellos-start-through-pitchfx.html"> Fire Jim Leyland: Rick Porcello&#8217;s Start Through PITCHf/x</a>
</li>
</ul>
<blockquote></blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/08/infirmary-report-and-other-thoughts/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Lost weekend and other ramblings</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/lost-weekend-and-other-ramblings/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/lost-weekend-and-other-ramblings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2009 11:53:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4750</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[9-5. That was the series score. Tigers pitchers kept a very good offensive team to just 9 runs and yet were swept because Detroit went 1-26 with runners in scoring position. The numbers are pretty much mind boggling. And 3 of the Tigers 5 runs came on solo homers. The White Sox took 2 out [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>9-5. That was the series score. Tigers pitchers kept a very good offensive team to just 9 runs and yet were swept because Detroit went 1-26 with runners in scoring position. The numbers are pretty much mind boggling. And 3 of the Tigers 5 runs came on solo homers. The White Sox took 2 out of 3 games in their weekend series meaning that the Tigers lead is down to a slim 1.5 games. It was a crappy weekend for Detroit baseball. They got swept, they didn&#8217;t score, and they lost a relief pitcher for who knows how long. But I&#8217;ll find some good news in here somewhere.</p>
<h3>Pitching is still good</h3>
<p>The Tigers continue to get good pitching. Justin Verlander and Edwin Jackson came out strong and pitched the way they had for the bulk of the first half of the season. Sustained success for both is key to the Tigers playoff chances and with Verlander&#8217;s history of second half struggles, and Jackson&#8217;s history of never having been this good before, those are both question marks where the early returns are promising.</p>
<p>Also, outside of Joel Zumaya&#8217;s blow-up, the bullpen was just as good as the starters. Fu-Te Ni is probably benefiting somewhat from being the new funky-delivery lefty, but his results have been as impressive with the big club as they were with Toledo. I guess the other good news is that the bullpen is nice and rested.</p>
<h3>Unsustainable pace</h3>
<p>Fortunately for the offense, they won&#8217;t continue to be that bad. Going 1 for 26 in any situational split, or any situation period, isn&#8217;t a sustainable pace. They&#8217;ll at the very least accidentally get a hit at some point in time. But here is the other side of the coin. The Tigers did a good job early in each of the 3 games of making the opposing starter work hard. They were taking pitches, drawing walks, and putting pressure on the starter and thus creating all those scoring opportunities in the first place. That&#8217;s the good news. The bad news is that the lineup got destroyed later in the game and the outs came quicker and easier. The Tigers hitters need to carry the types of approaches they were taking early in the game and sustain them throughout and continue to generate the scoring chances.</p>
<p>The Tigers need more offense, and I&#8217;d love to see them add a bat, but it goes way beyond that. Even if they trade for a stud, left handed hitting corner outfielder (which is unlikely), he is only going to hit once each time through the lineup. The Tigers have legitimate offensive threats already in the lineup that aren&#8217;t producing. One bat isn&#8217;t going to have a big impact as long as Granderson/Polanco/Cabrera continue to struggle.</p>
<h3>What is Josh Anderson doing in the starting lineup?</h3>
<p>One thing the Tigers could do to improve the offense is to remove Josh Anderson from the equation. Anderson had seemingly played himself out of a starting role before the All Star break with Ryan Raburn getting the bulk of the playing time in left field. From June 29th through the break Raburn had 9 starts, Anderson 5 (and one of those was in centerfield to spell Granderson). Raburn hit 323/364/581 over that span and Anderson hit 200/238/350 with no stolen bases. Yet the team gets to New York and Anderson starts 2 of the 3 games.</p>
<p>Raburn is OPS&#8217;ing over 800 against both lefties and righties and he has a pretty even mix of plate appearances this year. Anderson is OPS&#8217;ing under 650 against both lefties and righties while drawing 88% of his plate appearances against his favorable platoon side. While he is fast, he isn&#8217;t a good baserunner. The glaring mistakes are well known, but there are smaller ones as well. On Sunday he slid into second on a fly ball to centerfield. He was stealing and never saw the ball. Plus he had 2 defensive miscues this weekend. One cost the team runs, the other only cost Jackson 6 pitches. Outside of a late inning pinch runner he should have no role on this team, yet he continues to get starts.</p>
<h3>Other Stuff</h3>
<ul>
<li>The extent of Joel Zumaya&#8217;s injury still isn&#8217;t fully known but it is a <a href="http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2009/07/status_of_tigers_reliever_joel.html">re-aggravation of his stress fracture</a>. I&#8217;m sure the 3 inning outing in Minnesota didn&#8217;t help the situation, but I wouldn&#8217;t blame it either. That shoulder has experienced a ton of trauma. I think there are only so many times Zumaya can throw the ball 100mph before the next injury occurs.</li>
<li>The <a href="http://bit.ly/JTfRK">Tigers were 1 of 7 teams</a> to have scouts on hand for Halladay&#8217;s outing yesterday. The White Sox weren&#8217;t. I don&#8217;t think the Tigers have the pieces, or at least pieces they&#8217;d be willing to part with, to get Halladay so I&#8217;d chalk up yesterday&#8217;s appearance to either due dilligence or gamesmanship.</li>
<li>What is the smarter financial move for Mike Ilitch, who is faced with <a href="http://www.crainsdetroit.com/article/20090719/FREE/907189996">decreased revenue due to lower ticket sales and decreased corporate sponsorship</a>, dumping payroll or adding players to keep the Tigers in the hunt? Extended contention and a possible playoff birth will do more to help the franchise&#8217;s economic outlook than trying to save on salary. The Tigers need to get through 2010 and then there is considerable salary relief coming.</li>
<li>Brandon Lyon has added a <a href="http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2009/07/cut_fastball_a_boost_ot_tigers.html">cut fastball and he has tweaked his delivery</a>.</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson is holding a wine-tasting charity event this Thursday that features a bachelor auction. For more information on purchasing tickets, or if you&#8217;d like to learn how you can take home your very own Granderson or Jackson head over the <a href="http://www.grandkidsfoundation.org/passport/">Grand Kids Foundation site</a>.</li>
<li>FS Detroit has started to replay each Tiger game at midnight with the Tigers live postgame show to air at 3 a.m. So if you miss either the first time, you have a second chance to DVR it.</li>
<li>Also coming up on FS Detroit is Batting Stance Guy. He&#8217;ll be recreating Magglio Ordonez&#8217;s ALCS homer and Justin Verlander&#8217;s no hitter. For more on Gar Ryness, check out <a href="http://tinyurl.com/lwen4b">his appearance on Letterman</a>. He&#8217;s already got <a href="http://www.battingstanceguy.com/2008/05/10/tigers">a compilation of Tigers past and present</a>.</li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/lost-weekend-and-other-ramblings/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>40</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Porcello&#8217;s 15 starts</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jul 2009 12:47:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Managing & Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier in the week Jim Leyland made the announcement that Rick Porcello’s&#160; next start would come July 21st and that he has 15 starts left. Porcello has been on inning and pitch restrictions as the Tigers try not to burn out one of the most promising young arms in the game. Through his first 16 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><a href="http://view.picapp.com/default.aspx?iid=4931713&amp;term=porcello&amp;ContributorId=7387&amp;CategoryId=6" target="_blank"><img title="Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers. - Detroit Tigers starter Rick Porcello delivers a pitch against the Boston Red Sox in the first inning, Tuesday, June 2, 2009, in Detroit. Ai Wire/Jorge Lemus AiWire Photo via Newscom Photo via Newscom" style="display: inline; margin: 0px 0px 10px 10px" height="284" alt="Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers." src="http://cdn.picapp.com/ftp/Images/d/8/f/4/Boston_Red_Sox_16c5.JPG?adImageId=1946215&amp;imageId=4931713" width="234" align="right" /></a><script type="text/javascript" src="http://cdn.pis.picapp.com/IamProd/PicAppPIS/JavaScript/PisV4.js"></script>
<p>Earlier in the week Jim Leyland made the announcement that <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a>’s&#160; next start would come July 21st and that <a href="http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2009/07/jim_leyland_flips_justin_verla.html">he has 15 starts left</a>. Porcello has been on inning and pitch restrictions as the Tigers try not to burn out one of the most promising young arms in the game. Through his first 16 starts he has amassed 87 innings. With 15 more starts and assuming the same type of restrictions on start length he would finish this season with 165-170 innings. But do those 15 starts include a potential postseason appearance? </p>
<p>I decided to look at how things shake out the rest of the way. Barring rain outs and keeping the rotation intact Porcello&#8217;s remaining starts could be: </p>
<table cellspacing="10" cellpadding="10" width="200" border="2">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="91">Date</td>
<td width="90">Rest</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">21-Jul</td>
<td width="90">&#160;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">26-Jul</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">1-Aug</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">6-Aug</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">11-Aug</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">16-Aug</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">22-Aug</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">28-Aug</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">2-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">8-Sep</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">13-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">18-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">23-Sep</td>
<td width="90">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">28-Sep</td>
<td width="90">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="91">3-Oct</td>
<td width="112">4</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&#160;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s 15 starts and it takes us right into the Tigers final series of the season against the White Sox. So if the Tigers do make the post season, does Rick Porcello have a role? Does he pitch out of the bullpen? Do they wait and see what happens? Or do they skip him at some point. In late August there are a couple of off days and the Tigers could push him back meaning he doesn&#8217;t pitch in the final series, saving a start for a potential post season appearance.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/porcellos-15-starts/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Junk Balling &#8211; All Star break edition</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 12:02:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Awards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[all star]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[armando galarraga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brandon inge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carlos guillen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fu-te ni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scott sizemore]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A pile of links on the eve of the All Star break… If you find yourself a little bored with the Tigers game today, you can always flip over to ESPN and catch Scott Sizemore, the lone Tigers representative in the All Star Future&#8217;s game. With Polanco on the last year of his contract and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>A pile of links on the eve of the All Star break…</p>
<p>If you find yourself a little bored with the Tigers game today, you can always flip over to ESPN and catch Scott Sizemore, the lone Tigers representative in the All Star Future&#8217;s game. With Polanco on the last year of his contract and Sizemore hitting a combined <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=sizemo001sco">300/392/508</a> line between Erie and Toledo it’s reasonable that he may be the Tigers second baseman next year. But <a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/allstar09/insider/columns/story?columnist=law_keith&amp;id=4320825">Keith Law</a> doesn’t seem to be that high or low on him.</p>
<p>With Brandon Inge making the All Star team he will <a href="http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=3402:complete-listing-of-2009-mlb-all-star-game-bonuses&amp;catid=30:mlb-news&amp;Itemid=42">earn a $25,000 bonus</a>. Really. Given Inge’s career can you imagine that as a negotiating point? Granderson will also get $25K. There’s no mention of what happens if Inge wins the home run derby but the consensus seems to be <a href="http://mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090709&amp;content_id=5794918&amp;vkey=allstar2009&amp;fext=.jsp">it doesn’t</a> <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/espnmag/story?id=3483235">mess up your swing</a>.</p>
<p><img style="border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; margin: 0px 0px 10px 10px; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px" title="Galarraga carries the bag - screen grab from Sports Center" src="http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/P1130852.jpg" border="0" alt="Galarraga carries the bag - screen grab from Sports Center" width="244" height="184" align="right" /></p>
<p>Before <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/galarar01.shtml">Armando Galarraga</a> got knocked around on Saturday night, I was ready to explore a theory about the good luck charm that is the High School Musical backpack. It’s the backpack that the relievers carry out to the bullpen full of treats and snacks and such and it is the responsibility of the least tenured rookie. Well, Fu-Te Ni has had the bag and he’s pitched well, and then in the 16 inning game Armando Galarraga was the only man in the pen and had to carry it back, and followed it up with his best start. But Ni had a run charged to him last night and Galarraga had 4 so there goes that theory.</p>
<p>The interesting thing about Fu-Te Ni is that he seems to <a href="http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/7/7/941110/new-arms-of-the-week-fu-te-ni-and">move around on the rubber</a> when he faces righties as opposed to lefties. I’ve wondered why more pitchers wouldn’t do this.</p>
<p>Carlos Guillen is set to begin a <a href="http://www.detnews.com/article/20090711/SPORTS0104/907110302/1129/rss15">rehab assignment</a>. He could equate to a mid season trade if he can return and be productive. I’d hope the Tigers aren’t pinning al their hopes on Guillen, but it does make sense to take a look before giving up too much for a bat.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/porceri01.shtml">Rick Porcello</a> <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090711/SPORTS02/90711016/1050/rss15">won’t pitch in the Yankees series</a> after the All Star game. Luke French, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/v/verlaju01.shtml">Justin Verlander</a>, and <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/jacksed01.shtml">Edwin Jackson</a> will start in the Bronx. Porcello’s next start hasn’t been announced. <a href="http://rickporcello.mlblogs.com/">But he is blogging now</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/junk-balling-all-star-break-edition/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Spelling Porcello</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/</link>
		<comments>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2009 13:08:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2009 Season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[justin verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rick porcello]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because you can&#8217;t spell Porcello without 2 O&#8217;s, 2 L&#8217;s, an R, a C, an E, and a capital P&#8230;The Tigers are taking advantage of an offday in the schedule and the All Star to skip Rick Porcello&#8217;s turn in the rotation. Porcello is done until after the All Star Break and while the rotation [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Because you can&#8217;t spell Porcello without 2 O&#8217;s, 2 L&#8217;s, an R, a C, an E, and a capital P&#8230;The Tigers are taking advantage of an offday in the schedule and the All Star to skip Rick Porcello&#8217;s turn in the rotation. Porcello is done until after the All Star Break and while the rotation hasn&#8217;t been set (with a 4 day break the Tigers could start anyone the first game back) it is conceivable that Porcello doesn&#8217;t pitch until the 24th for a double header. I doubt they would wait that long, but it is possible from a scheduling standpoint.</p>
<p>Jim Leyland was clear that this had nothing to do with Porcello&#8217;s recent struggles and it was part of the plan. I do believe him in this regard, but the fact that Porcello isn&#8217;t exactly on a roll made the decision that much easier. </p>
<p>I think Leyland has a done a wonderful job managing Porcello&#8217;s workload. I believe the plan going into the season was to have him throw about 175 innings. At the half way point he is at 87 inning putting him on pace for 174. And in game pitch count totals have been kept well under control.</p>
<p>The rest of the rotation is:
<ul>
<li>Tue: Verlander</li>
<li>Wed: French</li>
<li>Thr: off</li>
<li>Fri: Jackson</li>
<li>Sat: Galarraga</li>
<li>Sun: Verlander</li>
</ul>
<p>Verlander on Sunday presents an interesting situation with his All Star status, but it shouldn&#8217;t be a problem for him to pitch 1 inning the following Tuesday and with 13 pitchers on staff there should be no reason for any pitcher to pitch more than 1 inning.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20090707/SPORTS02/907070364/1050/rss15">Porcello to miss turn in rotation</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/07/spelling-porcello/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>18</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

