Game 2013.157: Tigers at Twins
91 – 65, 2.
I liked it better when you got all of your baseball stats from one place: the sports page. Or really, one to two pages of the sports section. Everything was laid out right in front of you, so you could jump from team to team, or stat to stat, without clicking anywhere or waiting for a page to load. Once I became stat aware, I regularly read the Fort Worth Star Telegram and then the Freep and Detroit News when I was visiting the D, and they did it the same, so I assumed that everyone did; the league leaders were published daily, and then all team stats were be published on a regular basis. I loved scanning the full stats for the all-stars, but what I really enjoyed was seeing the long lists of the league leaders. They would usually list the top 10, maybe the top 20. Top 10 was awesome, and top 20 was still pretty darn good.
Anyway, I was doing some in depth stat searching the other day. The was on my mobile phone, so it was pretty artificial, but I saw something interesting. Which prompted more research, and then led me to find these:
1) 7 1/3 IP 7 H 3 ER 2 BB 4 K
2) 7 IP 9 H 2 ER 1 BB 12 K
3) 7 IP 8 H 1 ER 1 BB 4 K
4) 7 IP 3 H 0 ER 2 BB 8 K
5) 8 IP 9 H 2 ER 4 BB 4 K
6) 8 IP 7 H 2 ER 2 BB 6 K
7) 7 IP 4 H 0 ER 2 BB 6K
8) 7 IP 4 H 3 ER 3BB 6 K
Total for the eight games: 58 1/3 IP, 51 H, 13 ER (2.00 ERA), 17 BB (1.17 WHIP), 50 Ks (7.71 K/9, 2.94 K/BB). Record: 0-3 with 5 no-decisions.
Know that those are? Those are JV lines from selected games this season. Eight very winnable games with no wins to show for it.
Now, on to step two of my point. AL rankings for selected JV stats:
BABIP: 4 (from the bottom – .303, Fister’s .314 is 3rd; note that Senchez’s .301 is 7th and Porcello’s .300 is 8th; I’d love to know what the team BABIP is post-Iglesias).
But here’s my point. Had the Tigers simply won 4 of those winnable games above, JV would have 17 wins, good for 2nd in the AL. How does our impression of his season change then? 2nd in the AL in wins, top 20 ERA, 5th in Ks, 6th in fWAR.
While this has been a disappointing JV season, it’s really a matter of perception. He’s still in the upper echelon of AL Starters.
For fun, here are the ERAs of some of the pitchers above JV in the wins column – Porcello (4.38), Fister (3.71), Dickey (4.27), Sabathia (4.78), Guthrie (4.09), Griffin (3.78), Lester (3.67), Tillman (3.70).
Note, what prompted this is that JV is still 18th in ERA.
We’ll get into the post-season rotation tomorrow.
Back on the 13th I suggested that the Tigers should close their final 16 games at 10-6 or 11-5. Winning the 3 series at home puts them at 7-3 and on pace for 10 to 11 wins. Unfortunately, that probably won’t be enough to wrestle away home field from the Bo Sox, and may not be enough to pass Oak.
The Wild Card stuff is great. I’m pulling for the Royals. People are being talked off of ledges around here regarding the Rangers.
Lots of scoreboard watching these days.
Lineup coming later.