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	<title>Comments on: Willis out&#8230;of rotation</title>
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	<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/</link>
	<description>News, views, and analysis on the Detroit Tigers and baseball</description>
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		<title>By: David</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121458</link>
		<dc:creator>David</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 23:09:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121458</guid>
		<description>Because as I&#039;m finding, a lot of people (even several who comment here), either
A) Don&#039;t want to win
B) Don&#039;t know how to win

What Craig wrote is a prime example of that

Forget about Inge batting 8, behind Laird for  a second

He has Everett leading off and Poly 2 (which he misspelled, but that is somewhat immaterial) ... really? just really?  after how they&#039;ve hit this year?


Why don&#039;t we make Justin Verlander a pinch runner and setup man and start Dtrain every other day while we are living in lulu land.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Because as I&#8217;m finding, a lot of people (even several who comment here), either<br />
A) Don&#8217;t want to win<br />
B) Don&#8217;t know how to win</p>
<p>What Craig wrote is a prime example of that</p>
<p>Forget about Inge batting 8, behind Laird for  a second</p>
<p>He has Everett leading off and Poly 2 (which he misspelled, but that is somewhat immaterial) &#8230; really? just really?  after how they&#8217;ve hit this year?</p>
<p>Why don&#8217;t we make Justin Verlander a pinch runner and setup man and start Dtrain every other day while we are living in lulu land.</p>
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		<title>By: Coleman</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121435</link>
		<dc:creator>Coleman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 15:16:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121435</guid>
		<description>I agree on Santiago--but I have to disagree on Granderson.  

For whatever reason he actually does not thrive at all in the leadoff spot, at least during the actual leadoff ABs.  He has the worst 1st inning stats of any leadoff hitter in the league, and the Tigers are the worst 1st inning offense in the league.  .146 / .255 / .244 (.499 OPS), that&#039;s how Curtis has been starting games this season; along with that he has scored 4 1st inning runs, easily lowest in the AL (Polanco has scored 9 1st inning runs batting 2nd).

If you look at his stats leading off innings (not just games) he&#039;s only a little better: .194 / .301 / .367 (.668 OPS) (this includes leading off innings on days he has hit 5th).  

Batting him somewhere else in the order will be better for the Tigers and will be better especially for Curtis himself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree on Santiago&#8211;but I have to disagree on Granderson.  </p>
<p>For whatever reason he actually does not thrive at all in the leadoff spot, at least during the actual leadoff ABs.  He has the worst 1st inning stats of any leadoff hitter in the league, and the Tigers are the worst 1st inning offense in the league.  .146 / .255 / .244 (.499 OPS), that&#8217;s how Curtis has been starting games this season; along with that he has scored 4 1st inning runs, easily lowest in the AL (Polanco has scored 9 1st inning runs batting 2nd).</p>
<p>If you look at his stats leading off innings (not just games) he&#8217;s only a little better: .194 / .301 / .367 (.668 OPS) (this includes leading off innings on days he has hit 5th).  </p>
<p>Batting him somewhere else in the order will be better for the Tigers and will be better especially for Curtis himself.</p>
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		<title>By: JB61973</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121433</link>
		<dc:creator>JB61973</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 14:33:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121433</guid>
		<description>YOu are right, polanco is not a leadoff hitter but not because he lacks speed.  Speed is overrated for a leadoff hitter.  He doesn&#039;t get on base enough.  THe truth is, he is a bottom of the order guy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>YOu are right, polanco is not a leadoff hitter but not because he lacks speed.  Speed is overrated for a leadoff hitter.  He doesn&#8217;t get on base enough.  THe truth is, he is a bottom of the order guy.</p>
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		<title>By: scotsw</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121432</link>
		<dc:creator>scotsw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 13:52:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121432</guid>
		<description>Polanco&#039;s not a lead-off hitter. He has average speed. I think Granderson has proven he thrives in that role. He gets to second or third often enough that it provides scoring opportunities for the heart of the order. It works; don&#039;t mess with it, IMHO.

To me, the problem isn&#039;t the order, it&#039;s the people. Magglio and/or Polanco need to step it up, and it wouldn&#039;t hurt if Laird, Everett, Granderson or Cabrera got their averages up 25 points or so. 

Also, I say play Santiago more -- he&#039;s producing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Polanco&#8217;s not a lead-off hitter. He has average speed. I think Granderson has proven he thrives in that role. He gets to second or third often enough that it provides scoring opportunities for the heart of the order. It works; don&#8217;t mess with it, IMHO.</p>
<p>To me, the problem isn&#8217;t the order, it&#8217;s the people. Magglio and/or Polanco need to step it up, and it wouldn&#8217;t hurt if Laird, Everett, Granderson or Cabrera got their averages up 25 points or so. </p>
<p>Also, I say play Santiago more &#8212; he&#8217;s producing.</p>
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		<title>By: Coleman</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121392</link>
		<dc:creator>Coleman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 23:50:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121392</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not sure why you would move Inge back to the 8th spot--He leads the team in HR and RBI, 2nd best OBP and OPS, best by a long margin in PPA and also at getting runners home from 3rd with less than 2 out--and you want him to have fewer ABs?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not sure why you would move Inge back to the 8th spot&#8211;He leads the team in HR and RBI, 2nd best OBP and OPS, best by a long margin in PPA and also at getting runners home from 3rd with less than 2 out&#8211;and you want him to have fewer ABs?</p>
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		<title>By: Craig</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121377</link>
		<dc:creator>Craig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 19:29:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121377</guid>
		<description>Best Case Scenario

Nate Roberson - Sent home to Kansas

Dontrelle Willis - Sent to Lakeland

Magglio Ordonez - Sent to DL until it is no longer possible to reach Games or PAs on option year

Cabrera- Moved to 3rd in the order

Wilkin Ramirez - Recalled to Play LF

New Order:

Everett -ss
Polonco - 2B
Caberera -1b
Granderson -CF
Thames -DH
Ramirez -RF/LF
Laird - C
Inge - 3B
Anderson/Clete/Kelly/Cleveln/Rayburn- LF/RF</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Best Case Scenario</p>
<p>Nate Roberson &#8211; Sent home to Kansas</p>
<p>Dontrelle Willis &#8211; Sent to Lakeland</p>
<p>Magglio Ordonez &#8211; Sent to DL until it is no longer possible to reach Games or PAs on option year</p>
<p>Cabrera- Moved to 3rd in the order</p>
<p>Wilkin Ramirez &#8211; Recalled to Play LF</p>
<p>New Order:</p>
<p>Everett -ss<br />
Polonco &#8211; 2B<br />
Caberera -1b<br />
Granderson -CF<br />
Thames -DH<br />
Ramirez -RF/LF<br />
Laird &#8211; C<br />
Inge &#8211; 3B<br />
Anderson/Clete/Kelly/Cleveln/Rayburn- LF/RF</p>
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		<title>By: Andre in Chi</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121367</link>
		<dc:creator>Andre in Chi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 17:30:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121367</guid>
		<description>Thanks dw&#039;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks dw&#8217;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: dwinning</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121366</link>
		<dc:creator>dwinning</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 17:08:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121366</guid>
		<description>The reason teams put their best hitter 4th (or should) is this: that hitter&#039;s first at bat is guaranteed to either be (1) in the first inning with a runner on base or (2) in the second inning with nobody out.  Both situations - runner on base or nobody out - leverage the best hitters skills the most.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The reason teams put their best hitter 4th (or should) is this: that hitter&#8217;s first at bat is guaranteed to either be (1) in the first inning with a runner on base or (2) in the second inning with nobody out.  Both situations &#8211; runner on base or nobody out &#8211; leverage the best hitters skills the most.</p>
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		<title>By: Scott</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121365</link>
		<dc:creator>Scott</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 16:46:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121365</guid>
		<description>Kevin in Dallas,

You make some good points, but I disagree about Willis and Robertson. 

To me, Nate is not a major league pitcher right now. Most of his pitches are strolling down the middle of the plate at about 85 mph screamming hit me. Worse than that, he looks like he has checked out to me. Either he is so disgruntled at being sent to the bullpen that he wants off the Tigers or he simply doesn&#039;t care about playing baseball anymore, he has absolutely no value even in mop up. I don&#039;t see any upside to keeping him on the roster.

As far as Willis, saying he has great stuff is a real stretch. If his heard were straight, I think he could be a servicable fourth or fifth starter. He has shown flashes of that in a few outings. I would talk to him and send him to Toledo for the rest of the year. If he won&#039;t accept that, cut him. He can not be trusted to take the ball in the middle of a Division race right now.

As for the lineup, absent a trade, I think you go with defense. A platoon of Clete Thomas and Raburn or Brent Clevelen might be the best thing for left field. What ever offense you get from them is a bonus.

I like the idea of moving Maggs into the 2-hole. He could concentrate on just getting on base. Perhaps some of his power would return if there wasn&#039;t as much pressure to produce. I don&#039;t know. He&#039;s 35, an age you might expect his numbers to start going down a bit. But not like this ... he has fallen off the cliff. It&#039;s very odd for someone of his ability.

I know I&#039;ve harped on it a lot, but I still think Granderson should be your 3-hole hitter. I can&#039;t for the life of me figure out why Leyland won&#039;t give it a shot.

So here&#039;s my lineup:

1. Polly 2b
2. Maggs RF
3. Grandy CF
4. Miggy 1b
5. Inge 3B
6. Thames DH
7. Thomas/Clevlen LF
8. Laird C
9. Everett SS</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kevin in Dallas,</p>
<p>You make some good points, but I disagree about Willis and Robertson. </p>
<p>To me, Nate is not a major league pitcher right now. Most of his pitches are strolling down the middle of the plate at about 85 mph screamming hit me. Worse than that, he looks like he has checked out to me. Either he is so disgruntled at being sent to the bullpen that he wants off the Tigers or he simply doesn&#8217;t care about playing baseball anymore, he has absolutely no value even in mop up. I don&#8217;t see any upside to keeping him on the roster.</p>
<p>As far as Willis, saying he has great stuff is a real stretch. If his heard were straight, I think he could be a servicable fourth or fifth starter. He has shown flashes of that in a few outings. I would talk to him and send him to Toledo for the rest of the year. If he won&#8217;t accept that, cut him. He can not be trusted to take the ball in the middle of a Division race right now.</p>
<p>As for the lineup, absent a trade, I think you go with defense. A platoon of Clete Thomas and Raburn or Brent Clevelen might be the best thing for left field. What ever offense you get from them is a bonus.</p>
<p>I like the idea of moving Maggs into the 2-hole. He could concentrate on just getting on base. Perhaps some of his power would return if there wasn&#8217;t as much pressure to produce. I don&#8217;t know. He&#8217;s 35, an age you might expect his numbers to start going down a bit. But not like this &#8230; he has fallen off the cliff. It&#8217;s very odd for someone of his ability.</p>
<p>I know I&#8217;ve harped on it a lot, but I still think Granderson should be your 3-hole hitter. I can&#8217;t for the life of me figure out why Leyland won&#8217;t give it a shot.</p>
<p>So here&#8217;s my lineup:</p>
<p>1. Polly 2b<br />
2. Maggs RF<br />
3. Grandy CF<br />
4. Miggy 1b<br />
5. Inge 3B<br />
6. Thames DH<br />
7. Thomas/Clevlen LF<br />
8. Laird C<br />
9. Everett SS</p>
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		<title>By: Mark in Chicago</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121363</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark in Chicago</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 16:27:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121363</guid>
		<description>sadly, after all this, we could probably use Sheffield in the lineup:

270/387/475 for a 128 OPS+</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>sadly, after all this, we could probably use Sheffield in the lineup:</p>
<p>270/387/475 for a 128 OPS+</p>
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		<title>By: Kevin in Dallas</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121362</link>
		<dc:creator>Kevin in Dallas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 16:23:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121362</guid>
		<description>That&#039;s not a bad idea on Ordonez.  He may be able to turn into the contact hitter that PP has been in the pas, though that type of hitter is even less valuable from a corner OFer.  I&#039;d rather see Ramirez bat .250 with an OPS+ of 1.

Concerning the lineups - mostly tradition.  Assuming the same 9, lineups are gonna produce roughly the same over the course of a season regardless of the order.  If anything, you should have your top OPS+ guy hitting leadoff (for the extra ABs as you mentioned Andre), and descend from there.  Though #3 to #4 is only ~10 PAs per year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s not a bad idea on Ordonez.  He may be able to turn into the contact hitter that PP has been in the pas, though that type of hitter is even less valuable from a corner OFer.  I&#8217;d rather see Ramirez bat .250 with an OPS+ of 1.</p>
<p>Concerning the lineups &#8211; mostly tradition.  Assuming the same 9, lineups are gonna produce roughly the same over the course of a season regardless of the order.  If anything, you should have your top OPS+ guy hitting leadoff (for the extra ABs as you mentioned Andre), and descend from there.  Though #3 to #4 is only ~10 PAs per year.</p>
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		<title>By: Kevin in Dallas</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121361</link>
		<dc:creator>Kevin in Dallas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 16:15:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121361</guid>
		<description>Yeah, I think you are right there scotsw.  I&#039;m sure someone will chime in soon with the actual provisions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah, I think you are right there scotsw.  I&#8217;m sure someone will chime in soon with the actual provisions.</p>
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		<title>By: Kurt</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121360</link>
		<dc:creator>Kurt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 16:01:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121360</guid>
		<description>Well the quote from leyland was:
&lt;blockquote&gt;&quot;Dontrelle will not pitch on Saturday. That&#039;s the end of the conversation. No further information goes along with that.

&quot;He will not pitch Saturday. No more questions about that.&quot; &lt;/blockquote&gt;

it makes no reference to skipping him and pitching him later. Maybe Leyland and Dombrowski don&#039;t want to announce the next step yet, but I don&#039;t think you can read into that quote he&#039;ll be starting again five days after Saturday.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well the quote from leyland was:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Dontrelle will not pitch on Saturday. That&#8217;s the end of the conversation. No further information goes along with that.</p>
<p>&#8220;He will not pitch Saturday. No more questions about that.&#8221; </p></blockquote>
<p>it makes no reference to skipping him and pitching him later. Maybe Leyland and Dombrowski don&#8217;t want to announce the next step yet, but I don&#8217;t think you can read into that quote he&#8217;ll be starting again five days after Saturday.</p>
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		<title>By: Andre in Chi</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121359</link>
		<dc:creator>Andre in Chi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 15:41:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121359</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m wondering if somebody can explain to me what the advantage is in having Cabrera bat 4th instead of say, 3rd? Wouldn&#039;t he see more ABs? I&#039;ve seen too many games where the top 3 get retired before he gets to the plate, and he ends up leading off the 2nd inning. 

Kevin,
Ordonez is, imo, much more likely to improve this year than Polanco, and thus shouldn&#039;t be dropped to the #8 spot (that&#039;s in addition to the fact that there&#039;s going to be a certain amount of deference to his reputation). 

Why not:
Granderson
Ordonez
Cabrera
Thames
Polanco
Inge
Everett
Thomas
Laird

Granderson is, as you point out, probably the best option at lead-off, while Ordonez still has a health OBP. Again, at this point, why not have Cabrera batting 3rd? What&#039;s the advantage of batting him 4th, besides the possibility of bases-loaded?

Just curious.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m wondering if somebody can explain to me what the advantage is in having Cabrera bat 4th instead of say, 3rd? Wouldn&#8217;t he see more ABs? I&#8217;ve seen too many games where the top 3 get retired before he gets to the plate, and he ends up leading off the 2nd inning. </p>
<p>Kevin,<br />
Ordonez is, imo, much more likely to improve this year than Polanco, and thus shouldn&#8217;t be dropped to the #8 spot (that&#8217;s in addition to the fact that there&#8217;s going to be a certain amount of deference to his reputation). </p>
<p>Why not:<br />
Granderson<br />
Ordonez<br />
Cabrera<br />
Thames<br />
Polanco<br />
Inge<br />
Everett<br />
Thomas<br />
Laird</p>
<p>Granderson is, as you point out, probably the best option at lead-off, while Ordonez still has a health OBP. Again, at this point, why not have Cabrera batting 3rd? What&#8217;s the advantage of batting him 4th, besides the possibility of bases-loaded?</p>
<p>Just curious.</p>
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		<title>By: Brenden</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2009/06/willis-out-of-rotation/#comment-121357</link>
		<dc:creator>Brenden</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 15:22:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/?p=4491#comment-121357</guid>
		<description>Just read in the Detroit News that they are only skipping Willis next start, which tells me that they have no real plan to fix the problem permanently, and that Galarraga will be making his next start. My prediction: Tigers will be in a first place tie with Minnesota by Sunday.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just read in the Detroit News that they are only skipping Willis next start, which tells me that they have no real plan to fix the problem permanently, and that Galarraga will be making his next start. My prediction: Tigers will be in a first place tie with Minnesota by Sunday.</p>
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