Comments on: Game 82: Tigers at Twins

By: Ken from Cincinnati

Ken from Cincinnati — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 22:23:29 +0000

“And Ken earns an honorary PhD in Funk for championing Mr. Thames’ preferred nickname.”

Thanks, Joel. We know that it’s at least preferred by us two, which is probably good for a GED in Funk.

And Chris in Dallas…..you could never be replaced. Unless there is some other guy in Dallas named Chris.

By: Chris in Dallas

Chris in Dallas — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 20:42:39 +0000

I was thinking Value Over Replacement Poster.

By: Ryan P

Ryan P — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 19:52:07 +0000

you’re a bogger

By: Neal

Neal — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 19:46:35 +0000

That would be a VORB calculation, would it not. Value over replacement bogger?

By: Chris in Dallas

Chris in Dallas — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 19:28:22 +0000

Ken: You need to compile some VORP statistics. I’d hate to think that Sean has a higher VORP than I do.

By: Joel in Seattle

Joel in Seattle — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 19:08:00 +0000

And Ken earns an honorary PhD in Funk for championing Mr. Thames’ preferred nickname.

By: Ken from Cincinnati

Ken from Cincinnati — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 19:03:12 +0000

I was just compiling some stats on us bloggers here and noticed something rather interesting. When looking at entertainment value per word written (EVPW), Sean C. has the top 5 highest rated posts and the top 5 lowest rated posts. While this data is impressive, it is undoubtedly skewed by the fact that he alone accounts for 72% of all posts anyway. He also takes home the gold for the most Shakespearian post and also top prize for most post lag. Pessimism% value is dominated by Sky, while Dave BW just edges out the Optimism% lead with his notorious biblical prophecy posts. “The Twins shall be destroyed 777-0, which will sound the 7 trumpets, which shall bring the wrath of the 7 plagues upon all of Minnesota’s citizens.”

By: tiff

tiff — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 18:55:24 +0000

Is that true, 25 come from behind victories already?

By: Mark in Chicago

Mark in Chicago — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 18:20:54 +0000

Chris,

I check that site after almost every win to see how we’re doing. You’re much better off using the PECOTA version of the report, which uses actual player projections (based on PECOTA, duh) to simulate the season. That gives the Tigers a 20% chance to make the postseason.

Given the fact that a handful of Sox pitchers are posting ridiculously lucky ERAs (take a close look at Gavin Floyd’s BABIP, FIP, LD%, K:BB, GB:FB, etc. for a laugh) and will almost certainly regress to the mean, this is a more useful report.

Still not good, but a 1 in 5 shot is better than 1 in 6.

By: Chris in Dallas

Chris in Dallas — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 17:43:55 +0000

OK I got my geek on. Since we just passed the midway point of the season, I decided to check out BP’s postseason odds. Still not good. The Tigers have a 14.48% chance of qualifying for the postseason at present. They played out this season a kajillion times on the nerd machine, and the Tigers have averaged roughly a 83-79 record. The AL Central champ has averaged 92 wins in those fake seasons. So obviously, the Tigers should probably find a way to win 50 more games this year if they know what’s good for them.

By: Chris in Dallas

Chris in Dallas — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 17:33:03 +0000

By the way, I should note that the captain has turned off the ‘No Sarcasm’ sign, lest I draw the ire of the DTW faithful…

By: Chris in Dallas

Chris in Dallas — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 17:32:01 +0000

Yeah Ordonez is worthless. Trade him for some bats and maybe a few rosin bags. Bum.

By: West Coast Tiger

West Coast Tiger — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 17:13:24 +0000

I have to say I am beginning my day looking forward to game time.

By the way we are 2-0 without Maggs. Obviously, the Tigers can trade him.

By: judpma

judpma — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 16:54:12 +0000

hey I saw those guys on the new MLB Gamecast everyones white

By: Chris in Dallas

Chris in Dallas — Tue, 01 Jul 2008 16:24:19 +0000

Now I get it. I’m a little slow today. OK I’m a little slow every day, but today especially.