Roster and injury news

With less than two weeks to Opening Day, the Tigers are freeing up some room in the clubhouse. They trimmed nine more from the Major League camp today leaving 37 players still officially in camp.

Gone are Virgil Vasquez and outfielder Brent Clevlen to Triple A Toledo. Additionally, the club assigned righthanded pitchers Freddy Dolsi, Chris Lambert and Preston Larrison, catchers Max St. Pierre and Nick Trzesniak and infielders Michael Hollimon and Scott Sizemore to minor league camp.

Hollimon of course was injured yesterday, however the Tigers got good news from the MRI. It appears that no surgery will be required meaning that we’re talking weeks instead of months of rehab time. Add in the fact that it was his non-throwing shoulder and he can still help Toledo and Detroit this year.

As for those 12 superfluous players in camp, the real number is closer to six or seven. Fernando Rodney, Vance Wilson, and Joel Zumaya are all destined for the disabled list. Jordan Tata is headed for the DL, but in all likelihood his will be of the minor league variety. And Francisco Cruceta is kind of in camp, though he’s never actually been in camp.

That leaves Denny Bautista, Yorman Bazardo, Aquilino Lopez, Francis Beltran, Clay Rapada, Mike Hessman, Ryan Raburn, Dane Sardhina, Ramon Santiago, Freddy Guzman, and Timo Perez as candidates for the roster. Rapada is probably just going through the evaluation process most of his bullpen mates went through earlier in the month as he returns from injury. From a roster management stand point I think the team has to take Bautista and Bazardo. Both are legitimate risks to be lost if removed from the 40 man roster. The others bear no such burden to the team.

As for the bench, Hessman is likely the next cut barring a trade of Marcus Thames. Joining Thames and Brandon Inge as subs will likely be Santiago and one of Guzman/Timo.

links for 2008-03-18

Mike Hollimon lacks luck of the Irish

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credit Roger DeWitt

Mike Hollimon, the official middle-infield-Triple A-ready-for-the-call-later-this-season player of DTW, dove and dislocated his shoulder. Jason Beck says an MRI will be forthcoming tomorrow but early returns aren’t positive and Hollimon could be done for the season.

I recently trumpeted Hollimon as a player to watch in the Baseball Digest Daily round table. I argued for him as the utility infielder. While I’d since given up that hope in the midst of Leyland announcing he’d figured out all but one spot on his roster, I’m still disappointed for him.

He may have suffered an injury that could substantially hinder his pro prospects. For Hollimon, who is already 25, a missed year of development is a major set back.

Here’s hoping it’s not as bad as it seems.

In a coincidental posting, Baseball Prospectus ran their team health report for the Tigers. The position players rate favorably but the rotation is full of questions. Kind of a running theme huh?

Junkballing: Baserunning, blocking, projections

Some of my Tiger blogging brethren have clever names for their link round up posts, like Bless You Boys “Like Stripes on the fur coat of a Tiger” or Mack Avenue Tigers “Bunt Singles” or Roar of the Tigers “Pug Marks.” Here’s my foray and we’ll call it Junkballing: Continue reading Junkballing: Baserunning, blocking, projections

Inge trade not likely

Dave Dombrowski told the Lakeland Ledger that he doesn’t expect Brandon Inge to be traded before the season opens. While there is still speculation that the Giants or Dodgers might have interest it appears that the teams aren’t really close to a trade.

It doesn’t make a lot of sense for the Dodgers to take on a player who would block Andy LaRoche. Meanwhile the Giants have only been offering players that they plan on releasing to try and get Joe Crede from the White Sox.

Dombrowski reiterated to the Ledger that while they’d continue to try and accommodate Inge’s wishes but said they were “not going to give him away.”

Meanwhile Inge had his start at shortstop cut short due to rain last night. Leyland was complimentary of Inge’s approach at the plate this season and it sounds like Inge finally got the message that the team was trying to deliver last season:

“I think he locked himself in during this winter,” said Leyland, “and figured out what a lot of people were telling him was right.”

Inge Likely to Open With Tigers | TheLedger.com

DTW Downtime

A late note, DTW will be down for at least a couple hours starting at midnight tonight. This downtime could be at least 12 hours though. I wish I could say it was to do a big honkin’ upgrade with all kinds of new features. Sadly it is my web host doing some stuff that will probably make things better on some level – but not on any level you’ll probably notice.

I full expect this downtime to coincide with some big breaking news.

Baseball America is kinda excited about the Tigers

Baseball America published their MLB previews and predictions today. Unfortunately most of it is premium content. But I will let you know that they have Detroit winning it all, Miguel Cabrera taking home MVP honors, and Justin Verlander finishing as Cy Young runner up.

In other preview news, the Baseball Crank is running his Established Win Shares series again this year and started with the AL Central. The system likes the Tigers to take the division over the Indians. The first line of his analysis very succinctly sums up the Tigers outlook this year:

The Tigers are loaded with prime and veteran talent, but also have more question marks than the Riddler.

And then there was one, or maybe two

Todd Jones 3-13-08
Todd Jones pitches a 1-2-3 inning against the Braves
Credit Roger DeWitt

That would be spots available in the seven man bullpen. Jim Leyland ended some of the speculation today by announcing that Todd Jones, Bobby Seay, Tim Byrdak, Jason Grilli, and Zach Miner were locks. The ambiguity now surrounds Fernando Rodney and his health. A healthy Rodney would of course be a part of the plan, but that seems unlikely at this point.

Of the aforementioned locks, the first 3 weren’t a mystery in the least. Grilli was also fairly assured of a spot because he’s a Leyland favorite. But Zach Miner wasn’t a given in my mind. Not that Miner isn’t deserving, but that his option status afforded the team some flexibility that Denny Bautista, Yorman Bazardo, and Francisco Cruceta couldn’t. And while it would really be a blow for Miner to go to Toledo, there’s a very strong likelihood that injury or ineffectiveness would lead to a call-up at some point.

Given that Cruceta hasn’t even made it into the country yet, he of course has to be considered a very long shot at this point. However, his visa struggles could play to the Tigers advantage in that he could probably clear waivers while MIA.

With Rodney likely to start the year on the DL, it will give the Tigers a chance to take an extended look at Bautista and Bazardo. Neither could be sent to the minors without clearing waivers. Officially Preston Larrison and Aquilino Lopez are still in the mix, as is Freddy Dolsi. But it wouldn’t make practical sense to take them at the expense of risking the loss of some valuable bullpen depth.

Other stuff

Can you teach an old catcher new tricks?

Pudge Rodriguez’s power surge has been a pleasant surprise this spring. With two more homers today, he now has a MLB leading six for the spring. But as Jason Beck notes, Pudge is focusing less on the homers, and more on being patient. This is a guy after all, that is one of only 4 players since 2003 to have more than 500 plate appearances in a season and fewer than 15 walks. And he did it twice!

Still, Pudge sez:

“No, I don’t think I’ve had a Spring Training like that as far as home runs. But I don’t look for that. It’s good, yes. I have six home runs in Spring Training. The main thing about it is I’m just doing what I want to do and just be more selective at the plate, try to hit some strikes and take the balls. I’m just trying to see 4-5 pitches per at-bat. That’s what I’m trying to do. And so far, that’s what I’m doing. I’m feeling pretty good about that.”

Keep in mind here that Pudge’s pitch selection in 2007 wasn’t just poor, it was horrendous. Using pitch f/x data from last year we saw that a typical big leaguer would offer at 29% of pitchers out of the strike zone. Rodriguez was around 50%.

As for the 4-5 pitches per PA, that would be quite a jump. Beck noted that Rodriguez ranked near the bottom in terms of pitchers per PA last year when he averaged 3.51. But that was actually the most pitches he’s seen since becoming a Tigers with rates of 3.44, 3.33, and 3.39. In fact the 3.51 was the 2nd highest mark of his career.

Rodriguez’s ability to carry this over into the regular season would seem to be far fetched. Still, this is a contract year which may provide some extra motivation to be a more complete hitter. Secondly, he’s had some early success this spring which should provide some positive reinforcement that the approach is working. Third, he’ll be in a great lineup. Okay, that last one doesn’t make a lot of sense but it is a popular refrain for why players will do really well for the Tigers this year.

links for 2008-03-12