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	<title>Comments on: Guess the pitcher</title>
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		<title>By: Mike R</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54942</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike R</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 16:38:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54942</guid>
		<description>Actually, I guess I was right last night. Their percentages would be about the same. Say Zumaya K&#039;d 100 out of 500 batters faced, he&#039;d be at 20% K rate and if Bondo K&#039;d 200 of 1000 batters faced, he&#039;d be at 20% as well. Obviously these are very well rounded numbers, but I just calculated it for the 2006 season. It depends on the numbers, but just because Zumaya throws 1 inning at a time doesn&#039;t mean he&#039;ll automatically have more K/PA. His Batter Faced total will be lower, but so will his K&#039;s.

Bonderman: 202 K&#039;s divided by 893 batters faced = 22.6% K/PA rate.

Zumaya: 97 K&#039;s divided by 300 batters faced = 28.2%

Zumaya struck out batters at a higher rate then Bondo, but the number isn&#039;t higher because he&#039;s a reliever.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, I guess I was right last night. Their percentages would be about the same. Say Zumaya K&#8217;d 100 out of 500 batters faced, he&#8217;d be at 20% K rate and if Bondo K&#8217;d 200 of 1000 batters faced, he&#8217;d be at 20% as well. Obviously these are very well rounded numbers, but I just calculated it for the 2006 season. It depends on the numbers, but just because Zumaya throws 1 inning at a time doesn&#8217;t mean he&#8217;ll automatically have more K/PA. His Batter Faced total will be lower, but so will his K&#8217;s.</p>
<p>Bonderman: 202 K&#8217;s divided by 893 batters faced = 22.6% K/PA rate.</p>
<p>Zumaya: 97 K&#8217;s divided by 300 batters faced = 28.2%</p>
<p>Zumaya struck out batters at a higher rate then Bondo, but the number isn&#8217;t higher because he&#8217;s a reliever.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark S.</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54941</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark S.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 12:56:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54941</guid>
		<description>My point is, zumaya will have  alot  more b/c he only throws an inning at a time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My point is, zumaya will have  alot  more b/c he only throws an inning at a time.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike R</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54940</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike R</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 09:00:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54940</guid>
		<description>Actually, I completely messed up with my example so please disregard that. It&#039;s late and I should be in bed, haha.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, I completely messed up with my example so please disregard that. It&#8217;s late and I should be in bed, haha.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike R</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54939</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike R</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 08:40:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54939</guid>
		<description>Weird, my response didn&#039;t show up, I don&#039;t think.

Billfer: I agree it&#039;s kind of hard to digest, however, it essentially says that Yovani Gallardo (according to the chart) struck out 1 of every 3 batters that came to the plate last year. While it&#039;s funky, and takes getting used to, it&#039;s not impossible for people to get used to it. It&#039;s, I think, meant to be used in terms with other stats to judge pitchers. Much in the way that I think and use Fielder&#039;s Independent Pitching (FIP) as a substitute for ERA as FIP takes the defense and luck out of it and focuses on what the pitcher can control (HR, BB&#039;s, HBP. . .).

http://www.hardballtimes.com/thtstat...&amp;league_filter[0]=1&amp;orderBy=fip&amp;direction=ASC&amp;page=1

That shows the FIP&#039;s of AL Pitchers and Bondo&#039;s 4th at 2.95 which indicates he&#039;s gotten unlucky (The few infield hits in his last start that led to runs). We all know, from watching his starts, that he&#039;s pitched like a top pitcher in the AL but has little to show for it. If a pitcher is getting unlucky/pitching in front of a poor defense, their FIP will be lower then their ERA and vice-versa for those pitching in front of great defenses or are getting lucky. I should&#039;ve prefaced this with &quot;I&#039;m a total stat head and love reading/implimenting these sorts of things.&quot;

Mark S: I&#039;m not comparing Zumaya to Bonderman, however, using K/PA would be a much better way to compare starters and relievers (why you&#039;d want to I don&#039;t know, aside from maybe comparing someone who&#039;s done both to figure out which he&#039;s been better at. . .), as it would show the rate of how many batters they K relative to plate appearances. Their percentages shouldn&#039;t be that much different, just because Bondo faces more batters doesn&#039;t mean he&#039;ll have a higher K/PA rate. Say Zumaya K&#039;s 20 batters out of 100 that he faces. That&#039;s 20%. Now say bondo K&#039;s 200 out of 1000 batters faced, that&#039;s 20% as well.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Weird, my response didn&#8217;t show up, I don&#8217;t think.</p>
<p>Billfer: I agree it&#8217;s kind of hard to digest, however, it essentially says that Yovani Gallardo (according to the chart) struck out 1 of every 3 batters that came to the plate last year. While it&#8217;s funky, and takes getting used to, it&#8217;s not impossible for people to get used to it. It&#8217;s, I think, meant to be used in terms with other stats to judge pitchers. Much in the way that I think and use Fielder&#8217;s Independent Pitching (FIP) as a substitute for ERA as FIP takes the defense and luck out of it and focuses on what the pitcher can control (HR, BB&#8217;s, HBP. . .).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.hardballtimes.com/thtstat...&amp;league_filter0=1&amp;orderBy=fip&amp;direction=ASC&amp;page=1" rel="nofollow">http://www.hardballtimes.com/t.....amp;page=1</a></p>
<p>That shows the FIP&#8217;s of AL Pitchers and Bondo&#8217;s 4th at 2.95 which indicates he&#8217;s gotten unlucky (The few infield hits in his last start that led to runs). We all know, from watching his starts, that he&#8217;s pitched like a top pitcher in the AL but has little to show for it. If a pitcher is getting unlucky/pitching in front of a poor defense, their FIP will be lower then their ERA and vice-versa for those pitching in front of great defenses or are getting lucky. I should&#8217;ve prefaced this with &#8220;I&#8217;m a total stat head and love reading/implimenting these sorts of things.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mark S: I&#8217;m not comparing Zumaya to Bonderman, however, using K/PA would be a much better way to compare starters and relievers (why you&#8217;d want to I don&#8217;t know, aside from maybe comparing someone who&#8217;s done both to figure out which he&#8217;s been better at. . .), as it would show the rate of how many batters they K relative to plate appearances. Their percentages shouldn&#8217;t be that much different, just because Bondo faces more batters doesn&#8217;t mean he&#8217;ll have a higher K/PA rate. Say Zumaya K&#8217;s 20 batters out of 100 that he faces. That&#8217;s 20%. Now say bondo K&#8217;s 200 out of 1000 batters faced, that&#8217;s 20% as well.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike R</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54938</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike R</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 07:33:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54938</guid>
		<description>Weird, my response didn&#039;t show up, I don&#039;t think.

Billfer: I agree it&#039;s kind of hard to digest, however, it essentially says that Yovani Gallardo (according to the chart) struck out 1 of every 3 batters that came to the plate last year. While it&#039;s funky, and takes getting used to, it&#039;s not impossible for people to get used to it. It&#039;s, I think, meant to be used in terms with other stats to judge pitchers. Much in the way that I think and use Fielder&#039;s Independent Pitching (FIP) as a substitute for ERA as FIP takes the defense and luck out of it and focuses on what the pitcher can control (HR, BB&#039;s, HBP. . .).

http://www.hardballtimes.com/thtstats/main/index.php?view=pitching&amp;league_filter[0]=1&amp;orderBy=fip&amp;direction=ASC&amp;page=1

That shows the FIP&#039;s of AL Pitchers and Bondo&#039;s 4th at 2.95 which indicates he&#039;s gotten unlucky (The few infield hits in his last start that led to runs). We all know, from watching his starts, that he&#039;s pitched like a top pitcher in the AL but has little to show for it. If a pitcher is getting unlucky/pitching in front of a poor defense, their FIP will be lower then their ERA and vice-versa for those pitching in front of great defenses or are getting lucky. I should&#039;ve prefaced this with &quot;I&#039;m a total stat head and love reading/implimenting these sorts of things.&quot;

Mark S: I&#039;m not comparing Zumaya to Bonderman, however, using K/PA would be a much better way to compare starters and relievers (why you&#039;d want to I don&#039;t know, aside from maybe comparing someone who&#039;s done both to figure out which he&#039;s been better at. . .), as it would show the rate of how many batters they K relative to plate appearances. Their percentages shouldn&#039;t be that much different, just because Bondo faces more batters doesn&#039;t mean he&#039;ll have a higher K/PA rate. Say Zumaya K&#039;s 20 batters out of 100 that he faces. That&#039;s 20%. Now say bondo K&#039;s 200 out of 1000 batters faced, that&#039;s 20% as well.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Weird, my response didn&#8217;t show up, I don&#8217;t think.</p>
<p>Billfer: I agree it&#8217;s kind of hard to digest, however, it essentially says that Yovani Gallardo (according to the chart) struck out 1 of every 3 batters that came to the plate last year. While it&#8217;s funky, and takes getting used to, it&#8217;s not impossible for people to get used to it. It&#8217;s, I think, meant to be used in terms with other stats to judge pitchers. Much in the way that I think and use Fielder&#8217;s Independent Pitching (FIP) as a substitute for ERA as FIP takes the defense and luck out of it and focuses on what the pitcher can control (HR, BB&#8217;s, HBP. . .).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.hardballtimes.com/thtstats/main/index.php?view=pitching&amp;league_filter0=1&amp;orderBy=fip&amp;direction=ASC&amp;page=1" rel="nofollow">http://www.hardballtimes.com/t.....amp;page=1</a></p>
<p>That shows the FIP&#8217;s of AL Pitchers and Bondo&#8217;s 4th at 2.95 which indicates he&#8217;s gotten unlucky (The few infield hits in his last start that led to runs). We all know, from watching his starts, that he&#8217;s pitched like a top pitcher in the AL but has little to show for it. If a pitcher is getting unlucky/pitching in front of a poor defense, their FIP will be lower then their ERA and vice-versa for those pitching in front of great defenses or are getting lucky. I should&#8217;ve prefaced this with &#8220;I&#8217;m a total stat head and love reading/implimenting these sorts of things.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mark S: I&#8217;m not comparing Zumaya to Bonderman, however, using K/PA would be a much better way to compare starters and relievers (why you&#8217;d want to I don&#8217;t know, aside from maybe comparing someone who&#8217;s done both to figure out which he&#8217;s been better at. . .), as it would show the rate of how many batters they K relative to plate appearances. Their percentages shouldn&#8217;t be that much different, just because Bondo faces more batters doesn&#8217;t mean he&#8217;ll have a higher K/PA rate. Say Zumaya K&#8217;s 20 batters out of 100 that he faces. That&#8217;s 20%. Now say bondo K&#8217;s 200 out of 1000 batters faced, that&#8217;s 20% as well.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark S.</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54934</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark S.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 00:41:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54934</guid>
		<description>parden my running analogy. I don&#039;t mean to imply that they run... my point is, Zumaya throws an inning or two every 3-4 games while Boderman and the rest of the starters go out for 6-8 innings every 5 days.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>parden my running analogy. I don&#8217;t mean to imply that they run&#8230; my point is, Zumaya throws an inning or two every 3-4 games while Boderman and the rest of the starters go out for 6-8 innings every 5 days.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark S.</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54933</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark S.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 00:40:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54933</guid>
		<description>I disagree. You make the point that not everyone throws nine innings every time they go out, SO WHAT!!!!!!!! Not everyone faces the same number of batters everytime they go out. I mean... Bonderman runs a marathon and Joel Zumaya only runs a 5k, off course Zum&#039;s average mile time is going to be faster. The bottom line is... stats like this will only be valid among pitchers who face a similar work load. You can&#039;t  compare apples and oranges.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I disagree. You make the point that not everyone throws nine innings every time they go out, SO WHAT!!!!!!!! Not everyone faces the same number of batters everytime they go out. I mean&#8230; Bonderman runs a marathon and Joel Zumaya only runs a 5k, off course Zum&#8217;s average mile time is going to be faster. The bottom line is&#8230; stats like this will only be valid among pitchers who face a similar work load. You can&#8217;t  compare apples and oranges.</p>
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		<title>By: billfer</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54919</link>
		<dc:creator>billfer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 May 2007 11:32:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54919</guid>
		<description>The trouble with K/PA is that it results in a fraction that is harder for the general public to interpret, context is tougher to find.  Besides, ERA is already scaled to 9 innings.  At least that&#039;s consistent.

His second point I find to be more compelling, but I typically will also look at bb/9 or k/bb as well so I get some of that information.

One measure that I do find interesting, and it is reported on Baseball Analysts site is K/100 pitches.  Now you&#039;re measuring strikeouts and efficiency.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The trouble with K/PA is that it results in a fraction that is harder for the general public to interpret, context is tougher to find.  Besides, ERA is already scaled to 9 innings.  At least that&#8217;s consistent.</p>
<p>His second point I find to be more compelling, but I typically will also look at bb/9 or k/bb as well so I get some of that information.</p>
<p>One measure that I do find interesting, and it is reported on Baseball Analysts site is K/100 pitches.  Now you&#8217;re measuring strikeouts and efficiency.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike R</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54891</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike R</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2007 16:26:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54891</guid>
		<description>Completely unrelated, but I read an article outlying that the K/9 stat should largely be changed towards a K/Plate Appearance stat, as pitchers shouldn&#039;t be judged on an average of 9 IP because they don&#039;t pitch 9 innings every time out.

It&#039;s an interesting read. I read it on www.projectprospect.com which is a site ran by this guy Adam Foster who started the site, since graduated college and I believe is working in part with BaseballAmerica.com.

http://www.projectprospect.com/k9-is-an-outdated-metric/

That&#039;s the article. Interesting read.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Completely unrelated, but I read an article outlying that the K/9 stat should largely be changed towards a K/Plate Appearance stat, as pitchers shouldn&#8217;t be judged on an average of 9 IP because they don&#8217;t pitch 9 innings every time out.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s an interesting read. I read it on <a href="http://www.projectprospect.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.projectprospect.com</a> which is a site ran by this guy Adam Foster who started the site, since graduated college and I believe is working in part with BaseballAmerica.com.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.projectprospect.com/k9-is-an-outdated-metric/" rel="nofollow">http://www.projectprospect.com.....ed-metric/</a></p>
<p>That&#8217;s the article. Interesting read.</p>
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		<title>By: Kyle J</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54890</link>
		<dc:creator>Kyle J</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2007 13:49:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54890</guid>
		<description>Noticed the favorable K/9 rate myself yesterday.  Hopefully, he&#039;s got the mental make-up to be the guy who comes in the 6th or 7th when the stater&#039;s pitched himself into a jam.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Noticed the favorable K/9 rate myself yesterday.  Hopefully, he&#8217;s got the mental make-up to be the guy who comes in the 6th or 7th when the stater&#8217;s pitched himself into a jam.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark P.</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54879</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark P.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2007 02:39:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54879</guid>
		<description>Nice analysis.  It makes you remember how much Walker developed as a Tiger.  I definitely don&#039;t miss though huge HRs Walker would give up, like to Hafner this weekend.  I didn&#039;t know that Seay had such a good K/BB ratio.  I do having a feeling that Seay will start to breakout this year as a quality reliever.  He seems to have a toughness and determination to him, kinda like Robertson yet more subdued.  I am sure all the call ups and demotions to the minors created some of this character.  I don&#039;t think he will ever become the lefty specialist that Walker developed into, but he should be a decent reliever in the majors.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice analysis.  It makes you remember how much Walker developed as a Tiger.  I definitely don&#8217;t miss though huge HRs Walker would give up, like to Hafner this weekend.  I didn&#8217;t know that Seay had such a good K/BB ratio.  I do having a feeling that Seay will start to breakout this year as a quality reliever.  He seems to have a toughness and determination to him, kinda like Robertson yet more subdued.  I am sure all the call ups and demotions to the minors created some of this character.  I don&#8217;t think he will ever become the lefty specialist that Walker developed into, but he should be a decent reliever in the majors.</p>
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		<title>By: Rob</title>
		<link>http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54877</link>
		<dc:creator>Rob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2007 02:14:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2007/05/guess-the-pitcher/#comment-54877</guid>
		<description>Gotta admit those numbers are a bit of an eye opener.  Walker was probably one of the top 2 or 3 lefty specialists in the majors the past few years in Detroit and the possibility that Seay could do what he did is intriguing.

Like you said, it&#039;s probably not likely.  But it is possible.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gotta admit those numbers are a bit of an eye opener.  Walker was probably one of the top 2 or 3 lefty specialists in the majors the past few years in Detroit and the possibility that Seay could do what he did is intriguing.</p>
<p>Like you said, it&#8217;s probably not likely.  But it is possible.</p>
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