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]]> By: Jason R. http://www.detroittigersweblog.com/2005/05/jjphp/#comment-628 Jason R. Thu, 01 Jan 1970 00:00:00 +0000 http://test.detroittigersweblog.com/2005/05/10/jj.php/#comment-628 No sooner do I rail on Johnson's peripherals than he goes out and post 6 K's against zero walks in 8 innings of work. Excellent, except for the fact that, as you said, he got hammered early in the game and thus posted an overall ugly little line. <br> <br>I'm gonna hold the line, though, Billfer, and for a copuple of reasons. One, I have to believe that his luck with not getting hit hard will turn sooner or later, because he simply doesn't fool that many hitters (hence the low K totals). True, he doesn't pitch around guys and issue a ton of walks, but neither does he seem to blow hitters away or sneak his way to even 5 K/9. <br> <br>Two, with the exception of mild defensive upgrades in center and at third base, this is the same defense that backed up Johnson last season. I know the DER numbers for Detroit look good so far, but I have to admit I harbor skepticism that they will hold going forward. Thus, if Johnson continues to allow hitters to put the ball in play at this rate the hits have to start falling in, whether they are well struck line drives, bloopers, or dribblers in the hole. <br> <br>Like anything, I imagine getting hit hard can run in cycles, and maybe that's what were seeing so far in 2005. Maybe he's had a good few weeks in that respect early on, similar to the Cy Young stretch he enjoyed last June. But the 1000+ ML innings he pitched prior to this season show a below-average pitcher in the bigger picture. No sooner do I rail on Johnson’s peripherals than he goes out and post 6 K’s against zero walks in 8 innings of work. Excellent, except for the fact that, as you said, he got hammered early in the game and thus posted an overall ugly little line.

I’m gonna hold the line, though, Billfer, and for a copuple of reasons. One, I have to believe that his luck with not getting hit hard will turn sooner or later, because he simply doesn’t fool that many hitters (hence the low K totals). True, he doesn’t pitch around guys and issue a ton of walks, but neither does he seem to blow hitters away or sneak his way to even 5 K/9.

Two, with the exception of mild defensive upgrades in center and at third base, this is the same defense that backed up Johnson last season. I know the DER numbers for Detroit look good so far, but I have to admit I harbor skepticism that they will hold going forward. Thus, if Johnson continues to allow hitters to put the ball in play at this rate the hits have to start falling in, whether they are well struck line drives, bloopers, or dribblers in the hole.

Like anything, I imagine getting hit hard can run in cycles, and maybe that’s what were seeing so far in 2005. Maybe he’s had a good few weeks in that respect early on, similar to the Cy Young stretch he enjoyed last June. But the 1000+ ML innings he pitched prior to this season show a below-average pitcher in the bigger picture.

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